Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
16%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.641.093.73safe1.67–3.610.24–1.951.91–5.56safer1.42–3.860.01–2.171.43–6.04
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.663.9211.58safe5.80–9.532.17–5.667.98–15.19safer5.31–10.021.71–6.137.02–16.14
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction21.3110.8332.14safe17.38–25.237.27–14.3924.65–39.62safer16.29–26.326.31–15.3522.60–41.67
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction14.737.4722.19safe11.78–17.674.79–10.1516.57–27.82safer10.95–18.504.05–10.8915.00–29.38
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.483.248.72safe3.60–7.361.58–4.895.18–12.25safer3.06–7.911.09–5.384.15–13.29
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.643.6011.24safe5.43–9.851.60–5.607.03–15.46safer4.85–10.431.07–6.145.92–16.56
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.4738.19safe54.68–68.2631.40–44.97safer53.01–69.9329.73–46.65
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction597365962safe530–664298–431828–1096safer512–683281–449793–1131
Pass accuracy %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction74.1266.64safe70.09–78.1562.31–70.96safer68.79–79.4461.00–72.27
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2611.4921.75safe7.43–13.108.54–14.4315.97–27.53safer6.67–13.867.79–15.1814.46–29.04
Offsides
51%
21%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.493.55safe0.90–3.220.40–2.581.29–5.80safer0.60–3.520.11–2.870.71–6.39
Yellow cards
22%
23%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.832.90safe0.02–2.120.70–2.960.72–5.08safer0.00–2.390.41–3.250.17–5.64
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
13%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.444.867.30safe1.00–3.873.30–6.424.30–10.29safer0.61–4.262.88–6.843.49–11.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.64 1.67–3.61 1.42–3.86 | 1.09 0.24–1.95 0.01–2.17 | 3.73 1.91–5.56 1.43–6.04 | 70% 16% 13% |
| Shots on target | 7.66 5.80–9.53 5.31–10.02 | 3.92 2.17–5.66 1.71–6.13 | 11.58 7.98–15.19 7.02–16.14 | 83% |
| Total shots | 21.31 17.38–25.23 16.29–26.32 | 10.83 7.27–14.39 6.31–15.35 | 32.14 24.65–39.62 22.60–41.67 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 14.73 11.78–17.67 10.95–18.50 | 7.47 4.79–10.15 4.05–10.89 | 22.19 16.57–27.82 15.00–29.38 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 5.48 3.60–7.36 3.06–7.91 | 3.24 1.58–4.89 1.09–5.38 | 8.72 5.18–12.25 4.15–13.29 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 7.64 5.43–9.85 4.85–10.43 | 3.60 1.60–5.60 1.07–6.14 | 11.24 7.03–15.46 5.92–16.56 | 86% |
| Possession % | 61.47 54.68–68.26 53.01–69.93 | 38.19 31.40–44.97 29.73–46.65 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 597 530–664 512–683 | 365 298–431 281–449 | 962 828–1096 793–1131 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.12 70.09–78.15 68.79–79.44 | 66.64 62.31–70.96 61.00–72.27 | — | 82% 15% |
| Fouls | 10.26 7.43–13.10 6.67–13.86 | 11.49 8.54–14.43 7.79–15.18 | 21.75 15.97–27.53 14.46–29.04 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 2.06 0.90–3.22 0.60–3.52 | 1.49 0.40–2.58 0.11–2.87 | 3.55 1.29–5.80 0.71–6.39 | 51% 21% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.07 0.02–2.12 0.00–2.39 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 2.90 0.72–5.08 0.17–5.64 | 22% 23% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 4.86 3.30–6.42 2.88–6.84 | 7.30 4.30–10.29 3.49–11.10 | 13% 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.