Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
21%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.263.38safe1.15–3.090.40–2.111.56–5.20safer0.90–3.340.17–2.341.08–5.68
Shots on target
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.574.3210.88safe4.71–8.432.57–6.067.28–14.49safer4.22–8.922.11–6.526.32–15.44
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction19.9411.7231.67safe16.02–23.878.16–15.2924.18–39.15safer14.93–24.967.20–16.2422.13–41.20
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction14.007.3221.31safe11.05–16.944.63–10.0015.69–26.93safer10.22–17.773.90–10.7314.12–28.50
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.023.089.10safe4.14–7.901.43–4.735.56–12.63safer3.59–8.440.93–5.224.53–13.67
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.903.9210.83safe4.69–9.121.92–5.926.61–15.04safer4.12–9.691.39–6.455.51–16.15
Possession %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction53.1446.62safe46.35–59.9339.84–53.41safer44.68–61.6038.17–55.08
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction471425896safe404–538358–491762–1029safer386–556341–509726–1065
Pass accuracy %
61%
35%
homeawayprediction73.6171.03safe69.58–77.6466.71–75.36safer68.29–78.9365.40–76.67
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7511.4124.16safe9.91–15.588.47–14.3618.38–29.94safer9.15–16.347.72–15.1116.87–31.45
Offsides
60%
19%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.381.353.72safe1.22–3.540.25–2.441.47–5.98safer0.91–3.840.00–2.730.88–6.57
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.883.49safe0.57–2.670.75–3.011.32–5.67safer0.30–2.930.46–3.300.76–6.23
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
22%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.904.507.40safe1.46–4.342.94–6.054.40–10.39safer1.08–4.722.52–6.483.59–11.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.12 1.15–3.09 0.90–3.34 | 1.26 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.34 | 3.38 1.56–5.20 1.08–5.68 | 57% 21% 22% |
| Shots on target | 6.57 4.71–8.43 4.22–8.92 | 4.32 2.57–6.06 2.11–6.52 | 10.88 7.28–14.49 6.32–15.44 | 70% 20% |
| Total shots | 19.94 16.02–23.87 14.93–24.96 | 11.72 8.16–15.29 7.20–16.24 | 31.67 24.18–39.15 22.13–41.20 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 14.00 11.05–16.94 10.22–17.77 | 7.32 4.63–10.00 3.90–10.73 | 21.31 15.69–26.93 14.12–28.50 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 6.02 4.14–7.90 3.59–8.44 | 3.08 1.43–4.73 0.93–5.22 | 9.10 5.56–12.63 4.53–13.67 | 79% |
| Corners | 6.90 4.69–9.12 4.12–9.69 | 3.92 1.92–5.92 1.39–6.45 | 10.83 6.61–15.04 5.51–16.15 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 53.14 46.35–59.93 44.68–61.60 | 46.62 39.84–53.41 38.17–55.08 | — | 63% 33% |
| Passes | 471 404–538 386–556 | 425 358–491 341–509 | 896 762–1029 726–1065 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.61 69.58–77.64 68.29–78.93 | 71.03 66.71–75.36 65.40–76.67 | — | 61% 35% |
| Fouls | 12.75 9.91–15.58 9.15–16.34 | 11.41 8.47–14.36 7.72–15.11 | 24.16 18.38–29.94 16.87–31.45 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 2.38 1.22–3.54 0.91–3.84 | 1.35 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 3.72 1.47–5.98 0.88–6.57 | 60% 19% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.30–2.93 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.49 1.32–5.67 0.76–6.23 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.90 1.46–4.34 1.08–4.72 | 4.50 2.94–6.05 2.52–6.48 | 7.40 4.40–10.39 3.59–11.20 | 22% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.