Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
19%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.233.55safe1.36–3.290.37–2.081.73–5.37safer1.10–3.540.14–2.311.25–5.85
Shots on target
71%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.384.1310.52safe4.52–8.252.39–5.886.91–14.12safer4.03–8.731.93–6.345.96–15.08
Total shots
82%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4611.1927.65safe12.53–20.387.63–14.7520.16–35.14safer11.44–21.476.67–15.7118.11–37.19
Shots in box
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction11.908.1020.00safe8.96–14.845.41–10.7814.37–25.62safer8.13–15.674.68–11.5112.81–27.19
Blocked shots
63%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.523.137.65safe2.64–6.411.48–4.784.12–11.19safer2.10–6.950.98–5.283.08–12.22
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.524.2210.74safe4.30–8.732.22–6.226.52–14.95safer3.73–9.301.69–6.755.42–16.06
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction58.1642.47safe51.37–64.9535.69–49.26safer49.70–66.6234.02–50.93
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction523370893safe456–590304–437759–1027safer437–608286–454724–1062
Pass accuracy %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction74.6968.30safe70.66–78.7163.98–72.63safer69.36–80.0162.67–73.94
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8211.3022.13safe7.99–13.668.36–14.2516.34–27.91safer7.23–14.427.61–15.0014.84–29.41
Offsides
53%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.453.56safe0.96–3.280.36–2.541.31–5.82safer0.65–3.580.07–2.830.72–6.41
Yellow cards
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.893.22safe0.28–2.380.76–3.021.05–5.40safer0.02–2.650.47–3.310.49–5.96
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.844.026.86safe1.40–4.282.46–5.583.87–9.85safer1.02–4.662.04–6.003.05–10.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.32 1.36–3.29 1.10–3.54 | 1.23 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 3.55 1.73–5.37 1.25–5.85 | 62% 19% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.38 4.52–8.25 4.03–8.73 | 4.13 2.39–5.88 1.93–6.34 | 10.52 6.91–14.12 5.96–15.08 | 71% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.46 12.53–20.38 11.44–21.47 | 11.19 7.63–14.75 6.67–15.71 | 27.65 20.16–35.14 18.11–37.19 | 82% 14% |
| Shots in box | 11.90 8.96–14.84 8.13–15.67 | 8.10 5.41–10.78 4.68–11.51 | 20.00 14.37–25.62 12.81–27.19 | 77% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.52 2.64–6.41 2.10–6.95 | 3.13 1.48–4.78 0.98–5.28 | 7.65 4.12–11.19 3.08–12.22 | 63% 13% 24% |
| Corners | 6.52 4.30–8.73 3.73–9.30 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.69–6.75 | 10.74 6.52–14.95 5.42–16.06 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 58.16 51.37–64.95 49.70–66.62 | 42.47 35.69–49.26 34.02–50.93 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 523 456–590 437–608 | 370 304–437 286–454 | 893 759–1027 724–1062 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.69 70.66–78.71 69.36–80.01 | 68.30 63.98–72.63 62.67–73.94 | — | 78% 19% |
| Fouls | 10.82 7.99–13.66 7.23–14.42 | 11.30 8.36–14.25 7.61–15.00 | 22.13 16.34–27.91 14.84–29.41 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 2.12 0.96–3.28 0.65–3.58 | 1.45 0.36–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 3.56 1.31–5.82 0.72–6.41 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.02–2.65 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.22 1.05–5.40 0.49–5.96 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.84 1.40–4.28 1.02–4.66 | 4.02 2.46–5.58 2.04–6.00 | 6.86 3.87–9.85 3.05–10.66 | 26% 14% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.