Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.843.153.99safe0.00–1.812.29–4.002.16–5.81safer0.00–2.062.06–4.231.68–6.29
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction3.118.5711.68safe1.24–4.976.83–10.328.08–15.29safer0.75–5.466.37–10.787.12–16.24
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction8.1321.2529.37safe4.20–12.0517.68–24.8121.89–36.86safer3.11–13.1416.72–25.7719.84–38.91
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction5.5614.7920.35safe2.62–8.5012.11–17.4814.73–25.98safer1.79–9.3311.38–18.2113.16–27.54
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction2.345.657.99safe0.45–4.224.00–7.314.45–11.52safer0.00–4.763.51–7.803.42–12.56
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction3.017.9110.92safe0.80–5.225.91–9.916.71–15.13safer0.22–5.805.38–10.445.60–16.24
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction27.8272.18safe21.03–34.6165.40–78.97safer19.36–36.2863.73–80.64
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction2947431036safe226–361676–809903–1170safer208–379659–827867–1206
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction63.6585.41safe59.62–67.6881.09–89.74safer58.33–68.9879.78–91.05
Fouls
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction12.218.3520.56safe9.37–15.045.40–11.2914.77–26.34safer8.61–15.804.66–12.0413.27–27.84
Offsides
49%
20%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.211.723.93safe1.04–3.370.63–2.821.68–6.18safer0.74–3.670.34–3.111.09–6.77
Yellow cards
58%
21%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.163.24safe1.03–3.130.03–2.291.06–5.42safer0.76–3.400.00–2.580.51–5.98
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.521.887.40safe4.08–6.950.32–3.434.40–10.39safer3.69–7.340.00–3.863.59–11.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.84 0.00–1.81 0.00–2.06 | 3.15 2.29–4.00 2.06–4.23 | 3.99 2.16–5.81 1.68–6.29 | 82% |
| Shots on target | 3.11 1.24–4.97 0.75–5.46 | 8.57 6.83–10.32 6.37–10.78 | 11.68 8.08–15.29 7.12–16.24 | 93% |
| Total shots | 8.13 4.20–12.05 3.11–13.14 | 21.25 17.68–24.81 16.72–25.77 | 29.37 21.89–36.86 19.84–38.91 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 5.56 2.62–8.50 1.79–9.33 | 14.79 12.11–17.48 11.38–18.21 | 20.35 14.73–25.98 13.16–27.54 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 2.34 0.45–4.22 0.00–4.76 | 5.65 4.00–7.31 3.51–7.80 | 7.99 4.45–11.52 3.42–12.56 | 84% |
| Corners | 3.01 0.80–5.22 0.22–5.80 | 7.91 5.91–9.91 5.38–10.44 | 10.92 6.71–15.13 5.60–16.24 | 91% |
| Possession % | 27.82 21.03–34.61 19.36–36.28 | 72.18 65.40–78.97 63.73–80.64 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 294 226–361 208–379 | 743 676–809 659–827 | 1036 903–1170 867–1206 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.65 59.62–67.68 58.33–68.98 | 85.41 81.09–89.74 79.78–91.05 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 12.21 9.37–15.04 8.61–15.80 | 8.35 5.40–11.29 4.66–12.04 | 20.56 14.77–26.34 13.27–27.84 | 77% 17% |
| Offsides | 2.21 1.04–3.37 0.74–3.67 | 1.72 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.11 | 3.93 1.68–6.18 1.09–6.77 | 49% 20% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.08 1.03–3.13 0.76–3.40 | 1.16 0.03–2.29 0.00–2.58 | 3.24 1.06–5.42 0.51–5.98 | 58% 21% 21% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 5.52 4.08–6.95 3.69–7.34 | 1.88 0.32–3.43 0.00–3.86 | 7.40 4.40–10.39 3.59–11.20 | 88% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.