Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
20%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction0.882.072.95safe0.00–1.841.21–2.921.12–4.77safer0.00–2.100.99–3.150.64–5.25
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction3.016.309.31safe1.15–4.884.56–8.045.71–12.92safer0.66–5.374.09–8.514.75–13.87
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2316.5925.82safe5.31–13.1513.03–20.1518.33–33.31safer4.21–14.2512.07–21.1116.28–35.36
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction5.6611.5317.19safe2.71–8.608.85–14.2111.57–22.81safer1.88–9.438.11–14.9510.00–24.38
Blocked shots
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.574.827.39safe0.69–4.453.17–6.483.86–10.93safer0.14–4.992.68–6.972.82–11.96
Corners
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.516.089.59safe1.30–5.734.08–8.085.38–13.80safer0.73–6.303.54–8.614.27–14.91
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction38.3863.51safe31.59–45.1756.72–70.29safer29.92–46.8455.05–71.96
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction355581936safe288–422515–648803–1070safer270–440497–665767–1106
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction64.1679.34safe60.13–68.1975.02–83.66safer58.83–69.4873.71–84.97
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6912.4825.17safe9.85–15.529.54–15.4319.39–30.95safer9.09–16.288.79–16.1817.88–32.46
Offsides
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.563.22safe0.50–2.820.46–2.650.97–5.47safer0.20–3.130.17–2.940.38–6.06
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.972.034.00safe0.92–3.020.90–3.161.82–6.18safer0.65–3.280.61–3.451.26–6.73
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
67%
14%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.872.266.13safe2.43–5.310.71–3.823.14–9.12safer2.05–5.690.28–4.242.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.88 0.00–1.84 0.00–2.10 | 2.07 1.21–2.92 0.99–3.15 | 2.95 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.25 | 15% 20% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.01 1.15–4.88 0.66–5.37 | 6.30 4.56–8.04 4.09–8.51 | 9.31 5.71–12.92 4.75–13.87 | 82% |
| Total shots | 9.23 5.31–13.15 4.21–14.25 | 16.59 13.03–20.15 12.07–21.11 | 25.82 18.33–33.31 16.28–35.36 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 5.66 2.71–8.60 1.88–9.43 | 11.53 8.85–14.21 8.11–14.95 | 17.19 11.57–22.81 10.00–24.38 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 2.57 0.69–4.45 0.14–4.99 | 4.82 3.17–6.48 2.68–6.97 | 7.39 3.86–10.93 2.82–11.96 | 15% 74% |
| Corners | 3.51 1.30–5.73 0.73–6.30 | 6.08 4.08–8.08 3.54–8.61 | 9.59 5.38–13.80 4.27–14.91 | 16% 75% |
| Possession % | 38.38 31.59–45.17 29.92–46.84 | 63.51 56.72–70.29 55.05–71.96 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 355 288–422 270–440 | 581 515–648 497–665 | 936 803–1070 767–1106 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.16 60.13–68.19 58.83–69.48 | 79.34 75.02–83.66 73.71–84.97 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 12.69 9.85–15.52 9.09–16.28 | 12.48 9.54–15.43 8.79–16.18 | 25.17 19.39–30.95 17.88–32.46 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.13 | 1.56 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.94 | 3.22 0.97–5.47 0.38–6.06 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.65–3.28 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 4.00 1.82–6.18 1.26–6.73 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.87 2.43–5.31 2.05–5.69 | 2.26 0.71–3.82 0.28–4.24 | 6.13 3.14–9.12 2.33–9.94 | 67% 14% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.