Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.812.96safe0.18–2.120.96–2.671.14–4.79safer0.00–2.370.73–2.900.66–5.27
Shots on target
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction3.995.399.38safe2.13–5.853.65–7.135.77–12.98safer1.64–6.343.18–7.604.82–13.94
Total shots
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7313.9226.65safe8.81–16.6610.35–17.4819.16–34.14safer7.72–17.759.40–18.4417.11–36.19
Shots in box
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction8.099.7917.88safe5.15–11.037.11–12.4712.25–23.50safer4.32–11.866.37–13.2110.69–25.07
Blocked shots
41%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.164.308.46safe2.28–6.042.65–5.964.93–12.00safer1.73–6.582.16–6.453.89–13.03
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.745.109.84safe2.52–6.953.10–7.105.62–14.05safer1.95–7.532.57–7.634.52–15.16
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction49.6351.58safe42.84–56.4244.79–58.36safer41.17–58.0943.12–60.04
Passes
45%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction453466918safe385–520399–532785–1052safer367–538382–550749–1088
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction68.4974.43safe64.46–72.5270.11–78.76safer63.17–73.8168.80–80.07
Fouls
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7510.9622.71safe8.92–14.598.01–13.9016.93–28.50safer8.16–15.357.27–14.6515.43–30.00
Offsides
44%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.423.09safe0.51–2.830.33–2.510.84–5.35safer0.21–3.140.04–2.800.25–5.94
Yellow cards
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.623.48safe0.81–2.910.49–2.751.30–5.65safer0.54–3.170.20–3.040.74–6.21
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.372.886.25safe1.93–4.801.33–4.443.26–9.24safer1.54–5.190.90–4.872.45–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.81 0.96–2.67 0.73–2.90 | 2.96 1.14–4.79 0.66–5.27 | 24% 23% 53% |
| Shots on target | 3.99 2.13–5.85 1.64–6.34 | 5.39 3.65–7.13 3.18–7.60 | 9.38 5.77–12.98 4.82–13.94 | 27% 61% |
| Total shots | 12.73 8.81–16.66 7.72–17.75 | 13.92 10.35–17.48 9.40–18.44 | 26.65 19.16–34.14 17.11–36.19 | 37% 55% |
| Shots in box | 8.09 5.15–11.03 4.32–11.86 | 9.79 7.11–12.47 6.37–13.21 | 17.88 12.25–23.50 10.69–25.07 | 30% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 4.16 2.28–6.04 1.73–6.58 | 4.30 2.65–5.96 2.16–6.45 | 8.46 4.93–12.00 3.89–13.03 | 41% 14% 45% |
| Corners | 4.74 2.52–6.95 1.95–7.53 | 5.10 3.10–7.10 2.57–7.63 | 9.84 5.62–14.05 4.52–15.16 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 49.63 42.84–56.42 41.17–58.09 | 51.58 44.79–58.36 43.12–60.04 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 453 385–520 367–538 | 466 399–532 382–550 | 918 785–1052 749–1088 | 45% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.49 64.46–72.52 63.17–73.81 | 74.43 70.11–78.76 68.80–80.07 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 11.75 8.92–14.59 8.16–15.35 | 10.96 8.01–13.90 7.27–14.65 | 22.71 16.93–28.50 15.43–30.00 | 52% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.14 | 1.42 0.33–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 3.09 0.84–5.35 0.25–5.94 | 44% 24% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.17 | 1.62 0.49–2.75 0.20–3.04 | 3.48 1.30–5.65 0.74–6.21 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.37 1.93–4.80 1.54–5.19 | 2.88 1.33–4.44 0.90–4.87 | 6.25 3.26–9.24 2.45–10.05 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.