Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
19%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.201.033.24safe1.23–3.170.18–1.891.41–5.06safer0.98–3.420.00–2.120.93–5.54
Shots on target
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.373.7710.14safe4.51–8.232.03–5.526.54–13.75safer4.02–8.721.57–5.985.58–14.70
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction18.3311.0829.41safe14.41–22.267.52–14.6421.93–36.90safer13.32–23.356.56–15.6019.88–38.95
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction12.357.7420.08safe9.40–15.295.06–10.4214.46–25.71safer8.57–16.124.32–11.1612.89–27.27
Blocked shots
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.992.827.81safe3.11–6.881.17–4.474.28–11.35safer2.57–7.420.67–4.963.24–12.38
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction7.053.7510.80safe4.84–9.261.75–5.756.58–15.01safer4.26–9.841.21–6.285.47–16.12
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.3339.19safe53.54–67.1232.41–45.98safer51.87–68.7930.74–47.65
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction583373955safe515–650306–439822–1089safer497–668289–457786–1125
Pass accuracy %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction74.4967.81safe70.46–78.5263.49–72.13safer69.17–79.8162.18–73.44
Fouls
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7011.7322.42safe7.86–13.538.78–14.6716.64–28.21safer7.10–14.298.03–15.4215.14–29.71
Offsides
49%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.523.50safe0.82–3.140.43–2.611.25–5.75safer0.52–3.440.14–2.900.66–6.34
Yellow cards
19%
21%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.112.103.22safe0.07–2.160.97–3.231.04–5.39safer0.00–2.430.68–3.520.48–5.95
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
22%
13%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.674.136.80safe1.23–4.102.58–5.693.81–9.79safer0.84–4.492.15–6.113.00–10.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.20 1.23–3.17 0.98–3.42 | 1.03 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 3.24 1.41–5.06 0.93–5.54 | 64% 19% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.37 4.51–8.23 4.02–8.72 | 3.77 2.03–5.52 1.57–5.98 | 10.14 6.54–13.75 5.58–14.70 | 75% 16% |
| Total shots | 18.33 14.41–22.26 13.32–23.35 | 11.08 7.52–14.64 6.56–15.60 | 29.41 21.93–36.90 19.88–38.95 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 12.35 9.40–15.29 8.57–16.12 | 7.74 5.06–10.42 4.32–11.16 | 20.08 14.46–25.71 12.89–27.27 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.99 3.11–6.88 2.57–7.42 | 2.82 1.17–4.47 0.67–4.96 | 7.81 4.28–11.35 3.24–12.38 | 73% 17% |
| Corners | 7.05 4.84–9.26 4.26–9.84 | 3.75 1.75–5.75 1.21–6.28 | 10.80 6.58–15.01 5.47–16.12 | 80% |
| Possession % | 60.33 53.54–67.12 51.87–68.79 | 39.19 32.41–45.98 30.74–47.65 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 583 515–650 497–668 | 373 306–439 289–457 | 955 822–1089 786–1125 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.49 70.46–78.52 69.17–79.81 | 67.81 63.49–72.13 62.18–73.44 | — | 79% 18% |
| Fouls | 10.70 7.86–13.53 7.10–14.29 | 11.73 8.78–14.67 8.03–15.42 | 22.42 16.64–28.21 15.14–29.71 | 37% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 1.52 0.43–2.61 0.14–2.90 | 3.50 1.25–5.75 0.66–6.34 | 49% 22% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.11 0.07–2.16 0.00–2.43 | 2.10 0.97–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 3.22 1.04–5.39 0.48–5.95 | 19% 21% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 4.13 2.58–5.69 2.15–6.11 | 6.80 3.81–9.79 3.00–10.60 | 22% 13% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.