Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.183.55safe0.39–2.331.33–3.041.72–5.37safer0.14–2.581.10–3.271.24–5.85
Shots on target
27%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction5.136.7511.88safe3.27–6.995.01–8.498.28–15.49safer2.78–7.484.54–8.967.32–16.44
Total shots
33%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9016.9131.81safe10.98–18.8313.35–20.4724.33–39.30safer9.89–19.9212.39–21.4322.27–41.35
Shots in box
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3511.6020.95safe6.41–12.298.92–14.2815.33–26.58safer5.58–13.128.19–15.0213.76–28.14
Blocked shots
33%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.774.538.31safe1.89–5.662.88–6.194.77–11.84safer1.35–6.202.39–6.683.73–12.88
Corners
31%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.855.9910.85safe2.64–7.073.99–7.996.63–15.06safer2.07–7.643.46–8.535.53–16.17
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.7254.64safe38.93–52.5147.86–61.43safer37.26–54.1846.19–63.10
Passes
26%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction428506934safe361–495440–573801–1068safer343–513422–590765–1104
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction67.8876.67safe63.85–71.9172.35–81.00safer62.56–73.2071.04–82.31
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2711.0422.31safe8.43–14.118.10–13.9916.53–28.10safer7.68–14.867.35–14.7415.03–29.60
Offsides
60%
17%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.771.694.45safe1.61–3.930.59–2.782.20–6.71safer1.31–4.230.31–3.071.61–7.30
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.023.76safe0.68–2.780.89–3.151.58–5.94safer0.42–3.050.60–3.441.02–6.49
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.413.277.68safe2.98–5.851.71–4.834.69–10.68safer2.59–6.241.29–5.253.88–11.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 2.18 1.33–3.04 1.10–3.27 | 3.55 1.72–5.37 1.24–5.85 | 23% 20% 56% |
| Shots on target | 5.13 3.27–6.99 2.78–7.48 | 6.75 5.01–8.49 4.54–8.96 | 11.88 8.28–15.49 7.32–16.44 | 27% 63% |
| Total shots | 14.90 10.98–18.83 9.89–19.92 | 16.91 13.35–20.47 12.39–21.43 | 31.81 24.33–39.30 22.27–41.35 | 33% 61% |
| Shots in box | 9.35 6.41–12.29 5.58–13.12 | 11.60 8.92–14.28 8.19–15.02 | 20.95 15.33–26.58 13.76–28.14 | 27% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 3.77 1.89–5.66 1.35–6.20 | 4.53 2.88–6.19 2.39–6.68 | 8.31 4.77–11.84 3.73–12.88 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Corners | 4.85 2.64–7.07 2.07–7.64 | 5.99 3.99–7.99 3.46–8.53 | 10.85 6.63–15.06 5.53–16.17 | 31% 58% |
| Possession % | 45.72 38.93–52.51 37.26–54.18 | 54.64 47.86–61.43 46.19–63.10 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 428 361–495 343–513 | 506 440–573 422–590 | 934 801–1068 765–1104 | 26% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.88 63.85–71.91 62.56–73.20 | 76.67 72.35–81.00 71.04–82.31 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.27 8.43–14.11 7.68–14.86 | 11.04 8.10–13.99 7.35–14.74 | 22.31 16.53–28.10 15.03–29.60 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 2.77 1.61–3.93 1.31–4.23 | 1.69 0.59–2.78 0.31–3.07 | 4.45 2.20–6.71 1.61–7.30 | 60% 17% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.76 1.58–5.94 1.02–6.49 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.41 2.98–5.85 2.59–6.24 | 3.27 1.71–4.83 1.29–5.25 | 7.68 4.69–10.68 3.88–11.49 | 59% 14% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+