Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.100.934.03safe2.13–4.070.08–1.792.21–5.85safer1.88–4.320.00–2.011.73–6.33
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.293.2910.58safe5.43–9.151.55–5.036.98–14.19safer4.94–9.641.08–5.506.02–15.14
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.319.2028.51safe15.39–23.235.64–12.7721.03–36.00safer14.29–24.334.68–13.7218.97–38.05
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.795.6618.45safe9.85–15.742.98–8.3412.83–24.08safer9.02–16.572.24–9.0811.26–25.64
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.732.367.09safe2.84–6.610.71–4.013.55–10.62safer2.30–7.150.22–4.512.52–11.66
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.322.929.25safe4.11–8.540.92–4.925.03–13.46safer3.54–9.110.39–5.463.93–14.57
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.9036.77safe57.11–70.6929.98–43.55safer55.44–72.3628.31–45.22
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction6473731020safe580–715306–439887–1154safer562–733289–457851–1190
Pass accuracy %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction81.9874.94safe77.95–86.0170.62–79.27safer76.66–87.3169.31–80.58
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9611.6021.56safe7.12–12.798.66–14.5515.78–27.34safer6.36–13.557.91–15.3014.27–28.85
Offsides
37%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.953.79safe0.68–3.000.85–3.041.53–6.04safer0.38–3.300.57–3.330.94–6.63
Yellow cards
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.332.193.52safe0.28–2.381.06–3.321.35–5.70safer0.02–2.650.77–3.610.79–6.26
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
13%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.174.476.64safe0.73–3.612.91–6.033.65–9.63safer0.35–3.992.49–6.452.83–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.10 2.13–4.07 1.88–4.32 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.01 | 4.03 2.21–5.85 1.73–6.33 | 80% |
| Shots on target | 7.29 5.43–9.15 4.94–9.64 | 3.29 1.55–5.03 1.08–5.50 | 10.58 6.98–14.19 6.02–15.14 | 86% |
| Total shots | 19.31 15.39–23.23 14.29–24.33 | 9.20 5.64–12.77 4.68–13.72 | 28.51 21.03–36.00 18.97–38.05 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.79 9.85–15.74 9.02–16.57 | 5.66 2.98–8.34 2.24–9.08 | 18.45 12.83–24.08 11.26–25.64 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.73 2.84–6.61 2.30–7.15 | 2.36 0.71–4.01 0.22–4.51 | 7.09 3.55–10.62 2.52–11.66 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 6.32 4.11–8.54 3.54–9.11 | 2.92 0.92–4.92 0.39–5.46 | 9.25 5.03–13.46 3.93–14.57 | 83% |
| Possession % | 63.90 57.11–70.69 55.44–72.36 | 36.77 29.98–43.55 28.31–45.22 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 647 580–715 562–733 | 373 306–439 289–457 | 1020 887–1154 851–1190 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.98 77.95–86.01 76.66–87.31 | 74.94 70.62–79.27 69.31–80.58 | — | 80% 17% |
| Fouls | 9.96 7.12–12.79 6.36–13.55 | 11.60 8.66–14.55 7.91–15.30 | 21.56 15.78–27.34 14.27–28.85 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 1.95 0.85–3.04 0.57–3.33 | 3.79 1.53–6.04 0.94–6.63 | 37% 21% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.02–2.65 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 3.52 1.35–5.70 0.79–6.26 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.73–3.61 0.35–3.99 | 4.47 2.91–6.03 2.49–6.45 | 6.64 3.65–9.63 2.83–10.44 | 13% 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+