Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.702.173.87safe0.74–2.671.32–3.022.05–5.70safer0.48–2.921.09–3.251.57–6.18
Shots on target
39%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction5.385.8511.23safe3.52–7.244.11–7.597.62–14.83safer3.03–7.733.64–8.066.67–15.79
Total shots
49%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2515.9132.15safe12.32–20.1712.34–19.4724.67–39.64safer11.23–21.2611.38–20.4322.62–41.69
Shots in box
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3111.0821.39safe7.37–13.258.40–13.7615.77–27.01safer6.54–14.087.67–14.5014.20–28.58
Blocked shots
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.863.788.65safe2.98–6.752.13–5.445.11–12.18safer2.44–7.291.64–5.934.08–13.22
Corners
44%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.685.6611.34safe3.47–7.893.66–7.667.13–15.56safer2.89–8.473.13–8.206.02–16.66
Possession %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction48.7852.09safe41.99–55.5745.30–58.87safer40.32–57.2443.63–60.54
Passes
41%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction471498969safe404–538432–565836–1103safer386–556414–582800–1139
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction69.8075.31safe65.77–73.8370.99–79.64safer64.48–75.1269.68–80.94
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6411.6422.28safe7.81–13.488.69–14.5816.50–28.06safer7.05–14.247.94–15.3314.99–29.57
Offsides
13%
14%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction1.373.134.49safe0.21–2.532.03–4.222.24–6.75safer0.00–2.831.75–4.511.65–7.34
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.923.55safe0.59–2.680.79–3.051.38–5.73safer0.32–2.950.50–3.340.82–6.29
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.763.487.24safe2.33–5.201.92–5.034.25–10.23safer1.94–5.591.49–5.463.43–11.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 0.74–2.67 0.48–2.92 | 2.17 1.32–3.02 1.09–3.25 | 3.87 2.05–5.70 1.57–6.18 | 31% 21% 49% |
| Shots on target | 5.38 3.52–7.24 3.03–7.73 | 5.85 4.11–7.59 3.64–8.06 | 11.23 7.62–14.83 6.67–15.79 | 39% 50% |
| Total shots | 16.25 12.32–20.17 11.23–21.26 | 15.91 12.34–19.47 11.38–20.43 | 32.15 24.67–39.64 22.62–41.69 | 49% 44% |
| Shots in box | 10.31 7.37–13.25 6.54–14.08 | 11.08 8.40–13.76 7.67–14.50 | 21.39 15.77–27.01 14.20–28.58 | 39% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 4.86 2.98–6.75 2.44–7.29 | 3.78 2.13–5.44 1.64–5.93 | 8.65 5.11–12.18 4.08–13.22 | 58% 29% |
| Corners | 5.68 3.47–7.89 2.89–8.47 | 5.66 3.66–7.66 3.13–8.20 | 11.34 7.13–15.56 6.02–16.66 | 44% 44% |
| Possession % | 48.78 41.99–55.57 40.32–57.24 | 52.09 45.30–58.87 43.63–60.54 | — | 40% 55% |
| Passes | 471 404–538 386–556 | 498 432–565 414–582 | 969 836–1103 800–1139 | 41% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.80 65.77–73.83 64.48–75.12 | 75.31 70.99–79.64 69.68–80.94 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 10.64 7.81–13.48 7.05–14.24 | 11.64 8.69–14.58 7.94–15.33 | 22.28 16.50–28.06 14.99–29.57 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.37 0.21–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 3.13 2.03–4.22 1.75–4.51 | 4.49 2.24–6.75 1.65–7.34 | 13% 14% 72% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.59–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.55 1.38–5.73 0.82–6.29 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.76 2.33–5.20 1.94–5.59 | 3.48 1.92–5.03 1.49–5.46 | 7.24 4.25–10.23 3.43–11.04 | 47% 15% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.