Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.290.833.12safe1.33–3.260.00–1.681.30–4.94safer1.07–3.510.00–1.910.82–5.42
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.373.039.40safe4.50–8.231.29–4.775.79–13.00safer4.01–8.720.82–5.244.83–13.96
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.429.0327.46safe14.50–22.355.47–12.5919.97–34.94safer13.41–23.444.51–13.5517.92–36.99
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction12.845.3718.22safe9.90–15.782.69–8.0512.59–23.84safer9.07–16.611.96–8.7911.03–25.41
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.532.437.95safe3.64–7.410.77–4.084.42–11.49safer3.10–7.950.28–4.573.38–12.52
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.633.199.81safe4.41–8.841.19–5.195.60–14.03safer3.84–9.410.66–5.724.49–15.13
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction59.8039.19safe53.00–66.5932.41–45.98safer51.34–68.2630.74–47.65
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction530341872safe463–598275–408738–1005safer445–616257–425702–1041
Pass accuracy %
80%
16%
homeawayprediction75.8868.80safe71.85–79.9064.48–73.13safer70.55–81.2063.17–74.44
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0512.5223.56safe8.21–13.889.57–15.4617.78–29.35safer7.45–14.648.82–16.2116.28–30.85
Offsides
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.553.06safe0.34–2.660.46–2.650.80–5.31safer0.04–2.960.17–2.940.21–5.90
Yellow cards
23%
21%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.302.123.43safe0.26–2.350.99–3.251.25–5.60safer0.00–2.620.70–3.540.69–6.16
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.110.15safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.430.00–0.78
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.094.086.17safe0.65–3.522.53–5.643.18–9.16safer0.26–3.912.10–6.062.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.29 1.33–3.26 1.07–3.51 | 0.83 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 3.12 1.30–4.94 0.82–5.42 | 70% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.37 4.50–8.23 4.01–8.72 | 3.03 1.29–4.77 0.82–5.24 | 9.40 5.79–13.00 4.83–13.96 | 83% |
| Total shots | 18.42 14.50–22.35 13.41–23.44 | 9.03 5.47–12.59 4.51–13.55 | 27.46 19.97–34.94 17.92–36.99 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.84 9.90–15.78 9.07–16.61 | 5.37 2.69–8.05 1.96–8.79 | 18.22 12.59–23.84 11.03–25.41 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.53 3.64–7.41 3.10–7.95 | 2.43 0.77–4.08 0.28–4.57 | 7.95 4.42–11.49 3.38–12.52 | 82% |
| Corners | 6.63 4.41–8.84 3.84–9.41 | 3.19 1.19–5.19 0.66–5.72 | 9.81 5.60–14.03 4.49–15.13 | 83% |
| Possession % | 59.80 53.00–66.59 51.34–68.26 | 39.19 32.41–45.98 30.74–47.65 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 530 463–598 445–616 | 341 275–408 257–425 | 872 738–1005 702–1041 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.88 71.85–79.90 70.55–81.20 | 68.80 64.48–73.13 63.17–74.44 | — | 80% 16% |
| Fouls | 11.05 8.21–13.88 7.45–14.64 | 12.52 9.57–15.46 8.82–16.21 | 23.56 17.78–29.35 16.28–30.85 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 1.55 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.94 | 3.06 0.80–5.31 0.21–5.90 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.30 0.26–2.35 0.00–2.62 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.43 1.25–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 23% 21% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.09 0.65–3.52 0.26–3.91 | 4.08 2.53–5.64 2.10–6.06 | 6.17 3.18–9.16 2.36–9.97 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.