Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.423.20safe0.82–2.750.56–2.271.38–5.02safer0.57–3.000.33–2.500.90–5.50
Shots on target
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.434.6310.06safe3.57–7.292.89–6.376.45–13.66safer3.08–7.782.42–6.845.50–14.62
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5813.4629.03safe11.65–19.509.89–17.0221.54–36.52safer10.56–20.598.93–17.9819.49–38.57
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction10.019.3519.36safe7.07–12.966.67–12.0313.74–24.99safer6.24–13.795.93–12.7712.17–26.55
Blocked shots
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.083.717.79safe2.20–5.962.06–5.364.26–11.33safer1.66–6.511.56–5.863.22–12.36
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.624.6510.27safe3.41–7.832.65–6.656.06–14.48safer2.83–8.412.12–7.184.95–15.59
Possession %
53%
43%
homeawayprediction51.4049.23safe44.61–58.1942.44–56.01safer42.94–59.8640.77–57.68
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction456422878safe389–523355–488744–1012safer371–542338–506709–1047
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction67.4570.37safe63.42–71.4866.04–74.69safer62.13–72.7864.74–76.00
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0112.4923.50safe8.18–13.859.54–15.4317.72–29.28safer7.42–14.618.79–16.1816.21–30.79
Offsides
28%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.043.54safe0.34–2.660.95–3.131.29–5.80safer0.04–2.960.66–3.420.70–6.39
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.913.39safe0.43–2.530.78–3.041.22–5.57safer0.17–2.800.49–3.330.66–6.13
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
32%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.953.676.61safe1.51–4.382.11–5.223.62–9.60safer1.12–4.771.69–5.652.81–10.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.78 0.82–2.75 0.57–3.00 | 1.42 0.56–2.27 0.33–2.50 | 3.20 1.38–5.02 0.90–5.50 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.43 3.57–7.29 3.08–7.78 | 4.63 2.89–6.37 2.42–6.84 | 10.06 6.45–13.66 5.50–14.62 | 54% 34% |
| Total shots | 15.58 11.65–19.50 10.56–20.59 | 13.46 9.89–17.02 8.93–17.98 | 29.03 21.54–36.52 19.49–38.57 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 10.01 7.07–12.96 6.24–13.79 | 9.35 6.67–12.03 5.93–12.77 | 19.36 13.74–24.99 12.17–26.55 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 4.08 2.20–5.96 1.66–6.51 | 3.71 2.06–5.36 1.56–5.86 | 7.79 4.26–11.33 3.22–12.36 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Corners | 5.62 3.41–7.83 2.83–8.41 | 4.65 2.65–6.65 2.12–7.18 | 10.27 6.06–14.48 4.95–15.59 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 51.40 44.61–58.19 42.94–59.86 | 49.23 42.44–56.01 40.77–57.68 | — | 53% 43% |
| Passes | 456 389–523 371–542 | 422 355–488 338–506 | 878 744–1012 709–1047 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.45 63.42–71.48 62.13–72.78 | 70.37 66.04–74.69 64.74–76.00 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 11.01 8.18–13.85 7.42–14.61 | 12.49 9.54–15.43 8.79–16.18 | 23.50 17.72–29.28 16.21–30.79 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 2.04 0.95–3.13 0.66–3.42 | 3.54 1.29–5.80 0.70–6.39 | 28% 21% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.17–2.80 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.39 1.22–5.57 0.66–6.13 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.51–4.38 1.12–4.77 | 3.67 2.11–5.22 1.69–5.65 | 6.61 3.62–9.60 2.81–10.42 | 32% 15% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+