Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.743.22safe0.51–2.450.89–2.601.40–5.04safer0.26–2.700.66–2.830.92–5.52
Shots on target
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction5.005.6910.69safe3.14–6.873.95–7.437.09–14.30safer2.65–7.353.48–7.906.13–15.25
Total shots
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4215.2029.63safe10.50–18.3511.64–18.7722.14–37.12safer9.41–19.4410.68–19.7320.09–39.17
Shots in box
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7410.0219.75safe6.80–12.687.33–12.7014.13–25.38safer5.97–13.516.60–13.4312.56–26.94
Blocked shots
41%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.904.057.95safe2.02–5.782.40–5.704.41–11.48safer1.47–6.321.91–6.203.38–12.52
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.755.9410.69safe2.54–6.963.94–7.946.47–14.90safer1.96–7.543.40–8.475.37–16.01
Possession %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction46.2354.10safe39.44–53.0247.32–60.89safer37.77–54.6945.65–62.56
Passes
34%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction402452854safe335–469386–519720–988safer316–487368–536685–1023
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction66.1572.32safe62.12–70.1867.99–76.64safer60.83–71.4766.68–77.95
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1311.0023.13safe9.29–14.978.05–13.9417.35–28.91safer8.54–15.737.30–14.6915.84–30.41
Offsides
50%
20%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.261.744.00safe1.10–3.420.65–2.831.75–6.26safer0.80–3.720.36–3.121.16–6.84
Yellow cards
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.733.80safe1.02–3.120.60–2.861.62–5.98safer0.76–3.390.31–3.151.07–6.54
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.423.376.79safe1.99–4.861.81–4.933.80–9.78safer1.60–5.251.39–5.352.99–10.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.74 0.89–2.60 0.66–2.83 | 3.22 1.40–5.04 0.92–5.52 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Shots on target | 5.00 3.14–6.87 2.65–7.35 | 5.69 3.95–7.43 3.48–7.90 | 10.69 7.09–14.30 6.13–15.25 | 36% 52% |
| Total shots | 14.42 10.50–18.35 9.41–19.44 | 15.20 11.64–18.77 10.68–19.73 | 29.63 22.14–37.12 20.09–39.17 | 41% 52% |
| Shots in box | 9.74 6.80–12.68 5.97–13.51 | 10.02 7.33–12.70 6.60–13.43 | 19.75 14.13–25.38 12.56–26.94 | 43% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.90 2.02–5.78 1.47–6.32 | 4.05 2.40–5.70 1.91–6.20 | 7.95 4.41–11.48 3.38–12.52 | 41% 14% 45% |
| Corners | 4.75 2.54–6.96 1.96–7.54 | 5.94 3.94–7.94 3.40–8.47 | 10.69 6.47–14.90 5.37–16.01 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 46.23 39.44–53.02 37.77–54.69 | 54.10 47.32–60.89 45.65–62.56 | — | 30% 66% |
| Passes | 402 335–469 316–487 | 452 386–519 368–536 | 854 720–988 685–1023 | 34% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.15 62.12–70.18 60.83–71.47 | 72.32 67.99–76.64 66.68–77.95 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 12.13 9.29–14.97 8.54–15.73 | 11.00 8.05–13.94 7.30–14.69 | 23.13 17.35–28.91 15.84–30.41 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 2.26 1.10–3.42 0.80–3.72 | 1.74 0.65–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 4.00 1.75–6.26 1.16–6.84 | 50% 20% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.07 1.02–3.12 0.76–3.39 | 1.73 0.60–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.80 1.62–5.98 1.07–6.54 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.42 1.99–4.86 1.60–5.25 | 3.37 1.81–4.93 1.39–5.35 | 6.79 3.80–9.78 2.99–10.60 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+