Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
18%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.032.343.38safe0.06–2.001.49–3.201.55–5.20safer0.00–2.251.26–3.431.07–5.68
Shots on target
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.646.259.89safe1.78–5.504.50–7.996.28–13.49safer1.29–5.994.04–8.455.33–14.45
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4016.3627.76safe7.48–15.3312.80–19.9320.28–35.25safer6.38–16.4211.84–20.8918.23–37.30
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.7811.4418.22safe3.84–9.728.76–14.1312.60–23.85safer3.01–10.558.03–14.8611.03–25.41
Blocked shots
24%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.424.918.33safe1.54–5.313.26–6.564.80–11.87safer1.00–5.852.77–7.063.76–12.91
Corners
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.386.0010.37safe2.16–6.594.00–8.006.16–14.58safer1.59–7.163.46–8.535.05–15.69
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.8858.69safe36.09–49.6751.90–65.47safer34.42–51.3450.23–67.14
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction406550956safe339–473483–616822–1090safer321–492466–634786–1125
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction65.0076.86safe60.97–69.0272.53–81.18safer59.67–70.3271.22–82.49
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0110.7720.78safe7.17–12.857.83–13.7115.00–26.56safer6.41–13.607.08–14.4613.49–28.06
Offsides
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.643.63safe0.83–3.150.55–2.741.38–5.89safer0.53–3.450.26–3.030.79–6.48
Yellow cards
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.442.97safe0.48–2.580.31–2.570.80–5.15safer0.22–2.850.02–2.860.24–5.71
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.682.606.28safe2.25–5.121.05–4.163.29–9.28safer1.86–5.510.62–4.582.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.03 0.06–2.00 0.00–2.25 | 2.34 1.49–3.20 1.26–3.43 | 3.38 1.55–5.20 1.07–5.68 | 15% 18% 67% |
| Shots on target | 3.64 1.78–5.50 1.29–5.99 | 6.25 4.50–7.99 4.04–8.45 | 9.89 6.28–13.49 5.33–14.45 | 16% 75% |
| Total shots | 11.40 7.48–15.33 6.38–16.42 | 16.36 12.80–19.93 11.84–20.89 | 27.76 20.28–35.25 18.23–37.30 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 6.78 3.84–9.72 3.01–10.55 | 11.44 8.76–14.13 8.03–14.86 | 18.22 12.60–23.85 11.03–25.41 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 3.42 1.54–5.31 1.00–5.85 | 4.91 3.26–6.56 2.77–7.06 | 8.33 4.80–11.87 3.76–12.91 | 24% 63% |
| Corners | 4.38 2.16–6.59 1.59–7.16 | 6.00 4.00–8.00 3.46–8.53 | 10.37 6.16–14.58 5.05–15.69 | 25% 64% |
| Possession % | 42.88 36.09–49.67 34.42–51.34 | 58.69 51.90–65.47 50.23–67.14 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 406 339–473 321–492 | 550 483–616 466–634 | 956 822–1090 786–1125 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.00 60.97–69.02 59.67–70.32 | 76.86 72.53–81.18 71.22–82.49 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 10.01 7.17–12.85 6.41–13.60 | 10.77 7.83–13.71 7.08–14.46 | 20.78 15.00–26.56 13.49–28.06 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.45 | 1.64 0.55–2.74 0.26–3.03 | 3.63 1.38–5.89 0.79–6.48 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.22–2.85 | 1.44 0.31–2.57 0.02–2.86 | 2.97 0.80–5.15 0.24–5.71 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.68 2.25–5.12 1.86–5.51 | 2.60 1.05–4.16 0.62–4.58 | 6.28 3.29–9.28 2.48–10.09 | 59% 15% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.