Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.843.30safe0.50–2.440.98–2.691.48–5.13safer0.25–2.690.75–2.921.00–5.61
Shots on target
42%
13%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.724.849.56safe2.85–6.583.10–6.585.95–13.16safer2.36–7.072.63–7.054.99–14.12
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6214.2526.87safe8.70–16.5510.68–17.8119.38–34.35safer7.60–17.649.72–18.7717.33–36.40
Shots in box
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction8.4410.2118.65safe5.49–11.387.53–12.8913.02–24.27safer4.66–12.216.79–13.6311.46–25.84
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.893.667.55safe2.01–5.772.00–5.314.01–11.08safer1.47–6.321.51–5.802.98–12.12
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.935.2410.17safe2.72–7.143.24–7.245.96–14.38safer2.14–7.722.71–7.774.85–15.49
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction45.1955.78safe38.40–51.9848.99–62.56safer36.73–53.6547.32–64.23
Passes
20%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction423523946safe356–490457–590813–1080safer338–508439–607777–1116
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction64.1073.04safe60.07–68.1368.72–77.37safer58.78–69.4367.41–78.68
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7012.2822.98safe7.87–13.549.34–15.2217.20–28.77safer7.11–14.308.59–15.9715.70–30.27
Offsides
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.173.60safe0.27–2.591.08–3.261.35–5.85safer0.00–2.890.79–3.550.76–6.44
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.163.74safe0.53–2.631.04–3.291.56–5.92safer0.26–2.890.74–3.591.01–6.48
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.443.116.55safe2.00–4.881.56–4.673.56–9.55safer1.62–5.261.13–5.092.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.44 0.25–2.69 | 1.84 0.98–2.69 0.75–2.92 | 3.30 1.48–5.13 1.00–5.61 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.72 2.85–6.58 2.36–7.07 | 4.84 3.10–6.58 2.63–7.05 | 9.56 5.95–13.16 4.99–14.12 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Total shots | 12.62 8.70–16.55 7.60–17.64 | 14.25 10.68–17.81 9.72–18.77 | 26.87 19.38–34.35 17.33–36.40 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 8.44 5.49–11.38 4.66–12.21 | 10.21 7.53–12.89 6.79–13.63 | 18.65 13.02–24.27 11.46–25.84 | 30% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.89 2.01–5.77 1.47–6.32 | 3.66 2.00–5.31 1.51–5.80 | 7.55 4.01–11.08 2.98–12.12 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 4.93 2.72–7.14 2.14–7.72 | 5.24 3.24–7.24 2.71–7.77 | 10.17 5.96–14.38 4.85–15.49 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 45.19 38.40–51.98 36.73–53.65 | 55.78 48.99–62.56 47.32–64.23 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 423 356–490 338–508 | 523 457–590 439–607 | 946 813–1080 777–1116 | 20% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.10 60.07–68.13 58.78–69.43 | 73.04 68.72–77.37 67.41–78.68 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.70 7.87–13.54 7.11–14.30 | 12.28 9.34–15.22 8.59–15.97 | 22.98 17.20–28.77 15.70–30.27 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.89 | 2.17 1.08–3.26 0.79–3.55 | 3.60 1.35–5.85 0.76–6.44 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.26–2.89 | 2.16 1.04–3.29 0.74–3.59 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.44 2.00–4.88 1.62–5.26 | 3.11 1.56–4.67 1.13–5.09 | 6.55 3.56–9.55 2.75–10.36 | 47% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+