Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.673.14safe0.51–2.440.82–2.521.32–4.97safer0.25–2.690.59–2.750.84–5.45
Shots on target
39%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction5.055.4710.52safe3.19–6.923.72–7.216.91–14.12safer2.70–7.413.26–7.675.96–15.08
Total shots
42%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7915.4630.24safe10.86–18.7111.89–19.0222.76–37.73safer9.77–19.8010.93–19.9820.70–39.78
Shots in box
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction9.469.7119.17safe6.52–12.407.03–12.3913.55–24.79safer5.69–13.236.29–13.1311.98–26.36
Blocked shots
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.074.618.68safe2.19–5.962.96–6.265.15–12.22safer1.65–6.502.46–6.754.11–13.25
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction5.155.3510.51safe2.94–7.373.35–7.356.29–14.72safer2.37–7.942.82–7.885.18–15.83
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction50.2449.90safe43.45–57.0343.11–56.68safer41.78–58.7041.44–58.35
Passes
49%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction459461920safe392–527394–527786–1054safer374–545377–545751–1089
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction70.6177.87safe66.58–74.6473.54–82.19safer65.28–75.9372.24–83.50
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6112.5523.16safe7.77–13.459.61–15.5017.38–28.94safer7.02–14.208.86–16.2515.87–30.45
Offsides
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.343.85safe0.35–2.671.25–3.441.60–6.10safer0.05–2.970.96–3.721.01–6.69
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.133.60safe0.42–2.521.00–3.261.42–5.78safer0.15–2.780.71–3.550.86–6.34
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.413.216.62safe1.97–4.841.66–4.773.63–9.61safer1.58–5.231.23–5.192.82–10.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.51–2.44 0.25–2.69 | 1.67 0.82–2.52 0.59–2.75 | 3.14 1.32–4.97 0.84–5.45 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Shots on target | 5.05 3.19–6.92 2.70–7.41 | 5.47 3.72–7.21 3.26–7.67 | 10.52 6.91–14.12 5.96–15.08 | 39% 49% |
| Total shots | 14.79 10.86–18.71 9.77–19.80 | 15.46 11.89–19.02 10.93–19.98 | 30.24 22.76–37.73 20.70–39.78 | 42% 51% |
| Shots in box | 9.46 6.52–12.40 5.69–13.23 | 9.71 7.03–12.39 6.29–13.13 | 19.17 13.55–24.79 11.98–26.36 | 43% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 4.07 2.19–5.96 1.65–6.50 | 4.61 2.96–6.26 2.46–6.75 | 8.68 5.15–12.22 4.11–13.25 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Corners | 5.15 2.94–7.37 2.37–7.94 | 5.35 3.35–7.35 2.82–7.88 | 10.51 6.29–14.72 5.18–15.83 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 50.24 43.45–57.03 41.78–58.70 | 49.90 43.11–56.68 41.44–58.35 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 459 392–527 374–545 | 461 394–527 377–545 | 920 786–1054 751–1089 | 49% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.61 66.58–74.64 65.28–75.93 | 77.87 73.54–82.19 72.24–83.50 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 10.61 7.77–13.45 7.02–14.20 | 12.55 9.61–15.50 8.86–16.25 | 23.16 17.38–28.94 15.87–30.45 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 2.34 1.25–3.44 0.96–3.72 | 3.85 1.60–6.10 1.01–6.69 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.15–2.78 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.60 1.42–5.78 0.86–6.34 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.41 1.97–4.84 1.58–5.23 | 3.21 1.66–4.77 1.23–5.19 | 6.62 3.63–9.61 2.82–10.43 | 45% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+