Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.383.23safe0.89–2.820.52–2.231.41–5.06safer0.64–3.070.30–2.460.93–5.54
Shots on target
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.394.269.65safe3.53–7.252.52–6.006.05–13.26safer3.04–7.742.05–6.475.09–14.21
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2911.5827.88safe12.37–20.228.02–15.1520.39–35.36safer11.28–21.317.06–16.1118.34–37.42
Shots in box
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction10.728.7519.48safe7.78–13.676.07–11.4313.85–25.10safer6.95–14.495.34–12.1712.29–26.67
Blocked shots
53%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.633.908.52safe2.74–6.512.24–5.554.99–12.06safer2.20–7.051.75–6.043.95–13.09
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.184.2410.41safe3.96–8.392.24–6.246.20–14.62safer3.39–8.961.70–6.775.09–15.73
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.8840.81safe54.09–67.6734.03–47.60safer52.42–69.3432.36–49.27
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction564363928safe497–632297–430794–1061safer479–650279–447758–1097
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction70.8768.99safe66.84–74.9064.66–73.31safer65.55–76.1963.35–74.62
Fouls
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1512.6622.80safe7.31–12.989.71–15.6017.02–28.59safer6.55–13.748.96–16.3515.52–30.09
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.513.29safe0.61–2.930.42–2.611.03–5.54safer0.31–3.230.13–2.890.44–6.13
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.953.54safe0.54–2.640.82–3.081.37–5.72safer0.27–2.910.53–3.370.81–6.28
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.593.696.29safe1.16–4.032.14–5.253.29–9.28safer0.77–4.421.71–5.682.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.85 0.89–2.82 0.64–3.07 | 1.38 0.52–2.23 0.30–2.46 | 3.23 1.41–5.06 0.93–5.54 | 49% 23% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.39 3.53–7.25 3.04–7.74 | 4.26 2.52–6.00 2.05–6.47 | 9.65 6.05–13.26 5.09–14.21 | 58% 30% |
| Total shots | 16.29 12.37–20.22 11.28–21.31 | 11.58 8.02–15.15 7.06–16.11 | 27.88 20.39–35.36 18.34–37.42 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.72 7.78–13.67 6.95–14.49 | 8.75 6.07–11.43 5.34–12.17 | 19.48 13.85–25.10 12.29–26.67 | 63% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.63 2.74–6.51 2.20–7.05 | 3.90 2.24–5.55 1.75–6.04 | 8.52 4.99–12.06 3.95–13.09 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Corners | 6.18 3.96–8.39 3.39–8.96 | 4.24 2.24–6.24 1.70–6.77 | 10.41 6.20–14.62 5.09–15.73 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 60.88 54.09–67.67 52.42–69.34 | 40.81 34.03–47.60 32.36–49.27 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 564 497–632 479–650 | 363 297–430 279–447 | 928 794–1061 758–1097 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.87 66.84–74.90 65.55–76.19 | 68.99 64.66–73.31 63.35–74.62 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 10.15 7.31–12.98 6.55–13.74 | 12.66 9.71–15.60 8.96–16.35 | 22.80 17.02–28.59 15.52–30.09 | 26% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.51 0.42–2.61 0.13–2.89 | 3.29 1.03–5.54 0.44–6.13 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.27–2.91 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.54 1.37–5.72 0.81–6.28 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.16–4.03 0.77–4.42 | 3.69 2.14–5.25 1.71–5.68 | 6.29 3.29–9.28 2.48–10.09 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+