Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.783.64safe0.89–2.830.92–2.631.81–5.46safer0.64–3.080.69–2.861.33–5.94
Shots on target
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.745.2010.93safe3.87–7.603.45–6.947.33–14.54safer3.38–8.092.99–7.406.37–15.49
Total shots
68%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6213.5830.20safe12.70–20.5510.02–17.1422.72–37.69safer11.61–21.649.06–18.1020.66–39.74
Shots in box
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction11.499.8521.34safe8.55–14.437.17–12.5315.72–26.96safer7.72–15.266.43–13.2714.15–28.53
Blocked shots
49%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.534.118.64safe2.65–6.412.46–5.775.11–12.18safer2.10–6.951.97–6.264.07–13.21
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.555.1610.71safe3.34–7.773.16–7.166.50–14.93safer2.77–8.342.63–7.695.39–16.03
Possession %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction48.5252.64safe41.73–55.3145.85–59.42safer40.06–56.9844.18–61.09
Passes
38%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction427463890safe360–495396–529756–1024safer342–513379–547721–1059
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction70.8974.06safe66.86–74.9269.73–78.38safer65.57–76.2268.42–79.69
Fouls
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5310.6024.13safe10.69–16.367.66–13.5518.35–29.91safer9.93–17.126.91–14.3016.84–31.42
Offsides
70%
15%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.961.384.34safe1.80–4.120.28–2.472.08–6.59safer1.50–4.420.00–2.761.50–7.18
Yellow cards
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.953.96safe0.96–3.060.82–3.081.78–6.14safer0.69–3.320.53–3.371.22–6.69
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.443.837.27safe2.00–4.872.28–5.394.28–10.26safer1.61–5.261.85–5.813.47–11.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.86 0.89–2.83 0.64–3.08 | 1.78 0.92–2.63 0.69–2.86 | 3.64 1.81–5.46 1.33–5.94 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Shots on target | 5.74 3.87–7.60 3.38–8.09 | 5.20 3.45–6.94 2.99–7.40 | 10.93 7.33–14.54 6.37–15.49 | 50% 38% |
| Total shots | 16.62 12.70–20.55 11.61–21.64 | 13.58 10.02–17.14 9.06–18.10 | 30.20 22.72–37.69 20.66–39.74 | 68% 26% |
| Shots in box | 11.49 8.55–14.43 7.72–15.26 | 9.85 7.17–12.53 6.43–13.27 | 21.34 15.72–26.96 14.15–28.53 | 60% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 4.53 2.65–6.41 2.10–6.95 | 4.11 2.46–5.77 1.97–6.26 | 8.64 5.11–12.18 4.07–13.21 | 49% 14% 38% |
| Corners | 5.55 3.34–7.77 2.77–8.34 | 5.16 3.16–7.16 2.63–7.69 | 10.71 6.50–14.93 5.39–16.03 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 48.52 41.73–55.31 40.06–56.98 | 52.64 45.85–59.42 44.18–61.09 | — | 38% 57% |
| Passes | 427 360–495 342–513 | 463 396–529 379–547 | 890 756–1024 721–1059 | 38% 61% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.89 66.86–74.92 65.57–76.22 | 74.06 69.73–78.38 68.42–79.69 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 13.53 10.69–16.36 9.93–17.12 | 10.60 7.66–13.55 6.91–14.30 | 24.13 18.35–29.91 16.84–31.42 | 69% 24% |
| Offsides | 2.96 1.80–4.12 1.50–4.42 | 1.38 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 4.34 2.08–6.59 1.50–7.18 | 70% 15% 15% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.06 0.69–3.32 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.96 1.78–6.14 1.22–6.69 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.44 2.00–4.87 1.61–5.26 | 3.83 2.28–5.39 1.85–5.81 | 7.27 4.28–10.26 3.47–11.08 | 37% 15% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+