Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.460.823.28safe1.49–3.430.00–1.681.46–5.10safer1.24–3.680.00–1.900.98–5.58
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.912.979.89safe5.05–8.781.23–4.726.28–13.49safer4.56–9.260.77–5.185.33–14.45
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction19.568.3227.88safe15.64–23.494.75–11.8820.39–35.36safer14.55–24.583.79–12.8418.34–37.42
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.585.6818.27safe9.64–15.533.00–8.3612.64–23.89safer8.81–16.352.26–9.1011.08–25.46
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.112.327.42safe3.22–6.990.66–3.973.89–10.96safer2.68–7.530.17–4.462.85–11.99
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.253.0810.33safe5.04–9.461.08–5.086.12–14.55safer4.46–10.040.55–5.625.01–15.65
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction62.4937.05safe55.70–69.2830.27–43.84safer54.03–70.9528.59–45.51
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction611361971safe543–678294–427838–1105safer525–696277–445802–1141
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction79.0067.94safe74.97–83.0263.61–72.26safer73.67–84.3262.30–73.57
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5211.4721.98safe7.68–13.358.52–14.4116.20–27.77safer6.92–14.117.78–15.1614.70–29.27
Offsides
53%
20%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.241.563.80safe1.08–3.400.46–2.651.54–6.05safer0.78–3.700.17–2.940.96–6.64
Yellow cards
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.883.12safe0.19–2.290.75–3.010.94–5.30safer0.00–2.550.46–3.300.38–5.86
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.044.376.41safe0.60–3.472.82–5.933.42–9.40safer0.21–3.862.39–6.352.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.46 1.49–3.43 1.24–3.68 | 0.82 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.90 | 3.28 1.46–5.10 0.98–5.58 | 73% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.91 5.05–8.78 4.56–9.26 | 2.97 1.23–4.72 0.77–5.18 | 9.89 6.28–13.49 5.33–14.45 | 87% |
| Total shots | 19.56 15.64–23.49 14.55–24.58 | 8.32 4.75–11.88 3.79–12.84 | 27.88 20.39–35.36 18.34–37.42 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 12.58 9.64–15.53 8.81–16.35 | 5.68 3.00–8.36 2.26–9.10 | 18.27 12.64–23.89 11.08–25.46 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 5.11 3.22–6.99 2.68–7.53 | 2.32 0.66–3.97 0.17–4.46 | 7.42 3.89–10.96 2.85–11.99 | 80% |
| Corners | 7.25 5.04–9.46 4.46–10.04 | 3.08 1.08–5.08 0.55–5.62 | 10.33 6.12–14.55 5.01–15.65 | 88% |
| Possession % | 62.49 55.70–69.28 54.03–70.95 | 37.05 30.27–43.84 28.59–45.51 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 611 543–678 525–696 | 361 294–427 277–445 | 971 838–1105 802–1141 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.00 74.97–83.02 73.67–84.32 | 67.94 63.61–72.26 62.30–73.57 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 10.52 7.68–13.35 6.92–14.11 | 11.47 8.52–14.41 7.78–15.16 | 21.98 16.20–27.77 14.70–29.27 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 2.24 1.08–3.40 0.78–3.70 | 1.56 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.94 | 3.80 1.54–6.05 0.96–6.64 | 53% 20% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.24 0.19–2.29 0.00–2.55 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.12 0.94–5.30 0.38–5.86 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.04 0.60–3.47 0.21–3.86 | 4.37 2.82–5.93 2.39–6.35 | 6.41 3.42–9.40 2.61–10.22 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.