Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction1.032.633.66safe0.06–2.001.78–3.491.84–5.49safer0.00–2.251.55–3.711.36–5.97
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction3.377.6411.01safe1.51–5.245.89–9.387.40–14.61safer1.02–5.725.43–9.846.45–15.57
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4518.8028.25safe5.52–13.3715.24–22.3620.76–35.74safer4.43–14.4714.28–23.3218.71–37.79
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction6.3713.5619.93safe3.43–9.3210.88–16.2414.31–25.55safer2.60–10.1510.14–16.9812.74–27.12
Blocked shots
13%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.605.177.77safe0.71–4.483.52–6.824.23–11.30safer0.17–5.023.03–7.323.19–12.34
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction3.497.0910.58safe1.28–5.705.09–9.096.36–14.79safer0.70–6.284.55–9.625.26–15.90
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction34.5566.92safe27.76–41.3460.13–73.70safer26.09–43.0158.46–75.37
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction333651984safe266–400585–718851–1118safer248–418567–735815–1154
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction69.0383.75safe65.00–73.0679.43–88.07safer63.71–74.3578.12–89.38
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction11.279.5920.86safe8.43–14.106.64–12.5315.07–26.64safer7.67–14.865.90–13.2813.57–28.14
Offsides
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.863.95safe0.93–3.250.77–2.951.69–6.20safer0.63–3.550.48–3.241.10–6.79
Yellow cards
49%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.463.38safe0.87–2.970.33–2.581.20–5.56safer0.61–3.240.04–2.880.64–6.11
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.250.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction4.862.237.09safe3.42–6.290.68–3.794.10–10.08safer3.03–6.680.25–4.213.28–10.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.03 0.06–2.00 0.00–2.25 | 2.63 1.78–3.49 1.55–3.71 | 3.66 1.84–5.49 1.36–5.97 | 16% 72% |
| Shots on target | 3.37 1.51–5.24 1.02–5.72 | 7.64 5.89–9.38 5.43–9.84 | 11.01 7.40–14.61 6.45–15.57 | 88% |
| Total shots | 9.45 5.52–13.37 4.43–14.47 | 18.80 15.24–22.36 14.28–23.32 | 28.25 20.76–35.74 18.71–37.79 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 6.37 3.43–9.32 2.60–10.15 | 13.56 10.88–16.24 10.14–16.98 | 19.93 14.31–25.55 12.74–27.12 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 2.60 0.71–4.48 0.17–5.02 | 5.17 3.52–6.82 3.03–7.32 | 7.77 4.23–11.30 3.19–12.34 | 13% 77% |
| Corners | 3.49 1.28–5.70 0.70–6.28 | 7.09 5.09–9.09 4.55–9.62 | 10.58 6.36–14.79 5.26–15.90 | 83% |
| Possession % | 34.55 27.76–41.34 26.09–43.01 | 66.92 60.13–73.70 58.46–75.37 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 333 266–400 248–418 | 651 585–718 567–735 | 984 851–1118 815–1154 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.03 65.00–73.06 63.71–74.35 | 83.75 79.43–88.07 78.12–89.38 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 11.27 8.43–14.10 7.67–14.86 | 9.59 6.64–12.53 5.90–13.28 | 20.86 15.07–26.64 13.57–28.14 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 2.09 0.93–3.25 0.63–3.55 | 1.86 0.77–2.95 0.48–3.24 | 3.95 1.69–6.20 1.10–6.79 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 1.46 0.33–2.58 0.04–2.88 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.64–6.11 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.86 3.42–6.29 3.03–6.68 | 2.23 0.68–3.79 0.25–4.21 | 7.09 4.10–10.08 3.28–10.89 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.