Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
26%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.472.71safe0.28–2.220.61–2.320.89–4.54safer0.03–2.470.38–2.550.41–5.02
Shots on target
44%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.674.669.33safe2.81–6.532.92–6.405.73–12.94safer2.32–7.022.45–6.874.77–13.89
Total shots
51%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2413.6527.90safe10.32–18.1710.09–17.2220.41–35.38safer9.23–19.269.13–18.1818.36–37.43
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.698.8817.57safe5.75–11.636.20–11.5611.95–23.19safer4.92–12.465.46–12.3010.38–24.76
Blocked shots
41%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.783.887.66safe1.90–5.662.23–5.544.13–11.20safer1.35–6.201.74–6.033.09–12.23
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.754.919.66safe2.54–6.962.91–6.915.45–13.88safer1.96–7.542.38–7.454.34–14.98
Possession %
38%
58%
homeawayprediction47.8352.18safe41.04–54.6245.39–58.96safer39.37–56.2943.72–60.64
Passes
41%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction419447867safe352–486381–514733–1000safer334–505363–531697–1036
Pass accuracy %
27%
68%
homeawayprediction65.0069.19safe60.97–69.0364.87–73.51safer59.68–70.3263.56–74.82
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4012.9624.35safe8.56–14.2310.01–15.9018.57–30.14safer7.80–14.999.26–16.6517.07–31.64
Offsides
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.353.31safe0.80–3.120.25–2.441.05–5.56safer0.50–3.420.00–2.730.47–6.15
Yellow cards
34%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.103.88safe0.74–2.830.97–3.231.71–6.06safer0.47–3.100.68–3.521.15–6.62
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.053.396.43safe1.61–4.481.83–4.943.44–9.43safer1.22–4.871.41–5.372.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.47 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.55 | 2.71 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 32% 26% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.67 2.81–6.53 2.32–7.02 | 4.66 2.92–6.40 2.45–6.87 | 9.33 5.73–12.94 4.77–13.89 | 44% 13% 43% |
| Total shots | 14.24 10.32–18.17 9.23–19.26 | 13.65 10.09–17.22 9.13–18.18 | 27.90 20.41–35.38 18.36–37.43 | 51% 42% |
| Shots in box | 8.69 5.75–11.63 4.92–12.46 | 8.88 6.20–11.56 5.46–12.30 | 17.57 11.95–23.19 10.38–24.76 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.78 1.90–5.66 1.35–6.20 | 3.88 2.23–5.54 1.74–6.03 | 7.66 4.13–11.20 3.09–12.23 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 4.75 2.54–6.96 1.96–7.54 | 4.91 2.91–6.91 2.38–7.45 | 9.66 5.45–13.88 4.34–14.98 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 47.83 41.04–54.62 39.37–56.29 | 52.18 45.39–58.96 43.72–60.64 | — | 38% 58% |
| Passes | 419 352–486 334–505 | 447 381–514 363–531 | 867 733–1000 697–1036 | 41% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.00 60.97–69.03 59.68–70.32 | 69.19 64.87–73.51 63.56–74.82 | — | 27% 68% |
| Fouls | 11.40 8.56–14.23 7.80–14.99 | 12.96 10.01–15.90 9.26–16.65 | 24.35 18.57–30.14 17.07–31.64 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.80–3.12 0.50–3.42 | 1.35 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 3.31 1.05–5.56 0.47–6.15 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 2.10 0.97–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 3.88 1.71–6.06 1.15–6.62 | 34% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.05 1.61–4.48 1.22–4.87 | 3.39 1.83–4.94 1.41–5.37 | 6.43 3.44–9.43 2.63–10.24 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+