Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.473.34safe0.90–2.840.62–2.321.51–5.16safer0.65–3.090.39–2.551.03–5.64
Shots on target
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction6.164.6110.77safe4.30–8.032.86–6.357.17–14.38safer3.81–8.522.40–6.826.21–15.33
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction18.5612.4731.03safe14.64–22.498.91–16.0323.55–38.52safer13.55–23.587.95–16.9921.50–40.57
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction12.558.3220.88safe9.61–15.505.64–11.0015.25–26.50safer8.78–16.324.91–11.7413.69–28.07
Blocked shots
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.993.368.35safe3.11–6.871.71–5.014.82–11.89safer2.57–7.421.21–5.503.78–12.92
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.284.0710.35safe4.07–8.502.07–6.076.14–14.56safer3.50–9.071.53–6.605.03–15.67
Possession %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction53.5446.31safe46.75–60.3339.52–53.09safer45.08–62.0037.85–54.76
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction525449974safe458–592382–515840–1107safer439–610365–533804–1143
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction73.8774.23safe69.84–77.9069.91–78.56safer68.55–79.1968.60–79.87
Fouls
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5310.3921.92safe8.69–14.377.45–13.3416.14–27.70safer7.94–15.136.70–14.0814.64–29.21
Offsides
62%
18%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.451.333.78safe1.29–3.610.24–2.421.53–6.04safer0.99–3.920.00–2.710.94–6.63
Yellow cards
29%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.743.06safe0.27–2.370.61–2.870.88–5.24safer0.00–2.630.32–3.160.33–5.80
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
29%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.184.177.35safe1.75–4.622.61–5.724.36–10.34safer1.36–5.012.19–6.153.55–11.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.87 0.90–2.84 0.65–3.09 | 1.47 0.62–2.32 0.39–2.55 | 3.34 1.51–5.16 1.03–5.64 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Shots on target | 6.16 4.30–8.03 3.81–8.52 | 4.61 2.86–6.35 2.40–6.82 | 10.77 7.17–14.38 6.21–15.33 | 63% 26% |
| Total shots | 18.56 14.64–22.49 13.55–23.58 | 12.47 8.91–16.03 7.95–16.99 | 31.03 23.55–38.52 21.50–40.57 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 12.55 9.61–15.50 8.78–16.32 | 8.32 5.64–11.00 4.91–11.74 | 20.88 15.25–26.50 13.69–28.07 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.99 3.11–6.87 2.57–7.42 | 3.36 1.71–5.01 1.21–5.50 | 8.35 4.82–11.89 3.78–12.92 | 65% 23% |
| Corners | 6.28 4.07–8.50 3.50–9.07 | 4.07 2.07–6.07 1.53–6.60 | 10.35 6.14–14.56 5.03–15.67 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 53.54 46.75–60.33 45.08–62.00 | 46.31 39.52–53.09 37.85–54.76 | — | 64% 31% |
| Passes | 525 458–592 439–610 | 449 382–515 365–533 | 974 840–1107 804–1143 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.87 69.84–77.90 68.55–79.19 | 74.23 69.91–78.56 68.60–79.87 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 11.53 8.69–14.37 7.94–15.13 | 10.39 7.45–13.34 6.70–14.08 | 21.92 16.14–27.70 14.64–29.21 | 55% 36% |
| Offsides | 2.45 1.29–3.61 0.99–3.92 | 1.33 0.24–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.78 1.53–6.04 0.94–6.63 | 62% 18% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.32 0.27–2.37 0.00–2.63 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.06 0.88–5.24 0.33–5.80 | 29% 23% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.18 1.75–4.62 1.36–5.01 | 4.17 2.61–5.72 2.19–6.15 | 7.35 4.36–10.34 3.55–11.16 | 29% 14% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+