Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.673.13safe0.49–2.430.82–2.521.31–4.96safer0.24–2.680.59–2.750.83–5.44
Shots on target
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction5.105.8010.89safe3.23–6.964.06–7.547.29–14.50safer2.74–7.453.59–8.016.33–15.46
Total shots
49%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2715.9432.20safe12.34–20.1912.38–19.5024.72–39.69safer11.25–21.2811.42–20.4622.67–41.74
Shots in box
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1510.3519.50safe6.21–12.097.67–13.0313.88–25.13safer5.38–12.926.93–13.7712.31–26.69
Blocked shots
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.403.878.26safe2.51–6.282.21–5.524.73–11.80safer1.97–6.821.72–6.013.69–12.83
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction5.145.5110.65safe2.93–7.353.51–7.516.44–14.87safer2.35–7.932.98–8.055.33–15.97
Possession %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction51.3048.52safe44.51–58.0941.74–55.31safer42.84–59.7640.07–56.98
Passes
56%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction466447913safe399–534381–514780–1047safer381–552363–531744–1083
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction68.0672.06safe64.03–72.0967.74–76.39safer62.74–73.3966.43–77.70
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9911.7922.78safe8.15–13.838.85–14.7417.00–28.56safer7.40–14.588.10–15.4915.49–30.07
Offsides
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.923.54safe0.46–2.780.83–3.011.28–5.79safer0.15–3.080.54–3.300.69–6.38
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.923.48safe0.51–2.610.79–3.051.30–5.66safer0.24–2.870.50–3.340.74–6.21
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.773.226.99safe2.33–5.211.66–4.774.00–9.98safer1.95–5.591.24–5.203.18–10.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 1.67 0.82–2.52 0.59–2.75 | 3.13 1.31–4.96 0.83–5.44 | 34% 24% 43% |
| Shots on target | 5.10 3.23–6.96 2.74–7.45 | 5.80 4.06–7.54 3.59–8.01 | 10.89 7.29–14.50 6.33–15.46 | 36% 52% |
| Total shots | 16.27 12.34–20.19 11.25–21.28 | 15.94 12.38–19.50 11.42–20.46 | 32.20 24.72–39.69 22.67–41.74 | 49% 44% |
| Shots in box | 9.15 6.21–12.09 5.38–12.92 | 10.35 7.67–13.03 6.93–13.77 | 19.50 13.88–25.13 12.31–26.69 | 35% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 4.40 2.51–6.28 1.97–6.82 | 3.87 2.21–5.52 1.72–6.01 | 8.26 4.73–11.80 3.69–12.83 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 5.14 2.93–7.35 2.35–7.93 | 5.51 3.51–7.51 2.98–8.05 | 10.65 6.44–14.87 5.33–15.97 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 51.30 44.51–58.09 42.84–59.76 | 48.52 41.74–55.31 40.07–56.98 | — | 54% 41% |
| Passes | 466 399–534 381–552 | 447 381–514 363–531 | 913 780–1047 744–1083 | 56% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.06 64.03–72.09 62.74–73.39 | 72.06 67.74–76.39 66.43–77.70 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 10.99 8.15–13.83 7.40–14.58 | 11.79 8.85–14.74 8.10–15.49 | 22.78 17.00–28.56 15.49–30.07 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.15–3.08 | 1.92 0.83–3.01 0.54–3.30 | 3.54 1.28–5.79 0.69–6.38 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.24–2.87 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.74–6.21 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.77 2.33–5.21 1.95–5.59 | 3.22 1.66–4.77 1.24–5.20 | 6.99 4.00–9.98 3.18–10.79 | 51% 15% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.