Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
18%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction1.112.403.51safe0.14–2.081.54–3.251.69–5.33safer0.00–2.331.31–3.481.21–5.81
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction3.506.9810.48safe1.64–5.375.24–8.726.88–14.09safer1.15–5.864.77–9.195.92–15.04
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1618.4929.65safe7.24–15.0914.93–22.0522.16–37.14safer6.14–16.1813.97–23.0120.11–39.19
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.0013.0920.09safe4.05–9.9410.41–15.7714.46–25.71safer3.22–10.779.67–16.5112.90–27.28
Blocked shots
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.025.258.27safe1.13–4.903.60–6.914.73–11.81safer0.59–5.443.11–7.403.70–12.84
Corners
13%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.646.6710.31safe1.43–5.864.67–8.676.10–14.53safer0.86–6.434.13–9.204.99–15.63
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction35.7466.21safe28.95–42.5359.42–72.99safer27.28–44.2057.75–74.66
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction3586601017safe290–425593–726884–1151safer272–443576–744848–1187
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction67.0183.07safe62.98–71.0478.74–87.39safer61.69–72.3477.43–88.70
Fouls
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction10.349.6119.95safe7.51–13.186.66–12.5514.17–25.73safer6.75–13.945.91–13.3012.66–27.24
Offsides
47%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.221.864.08safe1.06–3.380.77–2.951.83–6.34safer0.76–3.680.48–3.241.24–6.92
Yellow cards
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.563.49safe0.88–2.980.43–2.691.31–5.67safer0.62–3.250.14–2.980.75–6.23
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
73%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.312.236.54safe2.87–5.750.68–3.793.55–9.53safer2.49–6.130.25–4.212.74–10.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.14–2.08 0.00–2.33 | 2.40 1.54–3.25 1.31–3.48 | 3.51 1.69–5.33 1.21–5.81 | 16% 18% 66% |
| Shots on target | 3.50 1.64–5.37 1.15–5.86 | 6.98 5.24–8.72 4.77–9.19 | 10.48 6.88–14.09 5.92–15.04 | 82% |
| Total shots | 11.16 7.24–15.09 6.14–16.18 | 18.49 14.93–22.05 13.97–23.01 | 29.65 22.16–37.14 20.11–39.19 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 7.00 4.05–9.94 3.22–10.77 | 13.09 10.41–15.77 9.67–16.51 | 20.09 14.46–25.71 12.90–27.28 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 3.02 1.13–4.90 0.59–5.44 | 5.25 3.60–6.91 3.11–7.40 | 8.27 4.73–11.81 3.70–12.84 | 17% 73% |
| Corners | 3.64 1.43–5.86 0.86–6.43 | 6.67 4.67–8.67 4.13–9.20 | 10.31 6.10–14.53 4.99–15.63 | 13% 79% |
| Possession % | 35.74 28.95–42.53 27.28–44.20 | 66.21 59.42–72.99 57.75–74.66 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 358 290–425 272–443 | 660 593–726 576–744 | 1017 884–1151 848–1187 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.01 62.98–71.04 61.69–72.34 | 83.07 78.74–87.39 77.43–88.70 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 10.34 7.51–13.18 6.75–13.94 | 9.61 6.66–12.55 5.91–13.30 | 19.95 14.17–25.73 12.66–27.24 | 52% 39% |
| Offsides | 2.22 1.06–3.38 0.76–3.68 | 1.86 0.77–2.95 0.48–3.24 | 4.08 1.83–6.34 1.24–6.92 | 47% 20% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.62–3.25 | 1.56 0.43–2.69 0.14–2.98 | 3.49 1.31–5.67 0.75–6.23 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.31 2.87–5.75 2.49–6.13 | 2.23 0.68–3.79 0.25–4.21 | 6.54 3.55–9.53 2.74–10.35 | 73% 15% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.