Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.263.24safe1.01–2.940.41–2.121.42–5.06safer0.76–3.200.18–2.350.94–5.54
Shots on target
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.984.5110.50safe4.12–7.852.77–6.256.89–14.10safer3.63–8.342.30–6.725.93–15.06
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction18.7711.7030.47safe14.84–22.698.14–15.2722.99–37.96safer13.75–23.797.18–16.2320.93–40.01
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction12.427.4719.89safe9.48–15.364.79–10.1514.26–25.51safer8.65–16.194.05–10.8912.70–27.08
Blocked shots
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.333.308.62safe3.44–7.211.64–4.955.09–12.16safer2.90–7.751.15–5.444.05–13.19
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.074.3110.38safe3.86–8.282.31–6.316.17–14.59safer3.28–8.861.78–6.845.06–15.70
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.4944.69safe48.70–62.2837.91–51.48safer47.03–63.9536.24–53.15
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction482404886safe415–549337–470752–1019safer397–567320–488716–1055
Pass accuracy %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction72.4868.52safe68.45–76.5164.20–72.85safer67.16–77.8162.89–74.16
Fouls
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8911.0023.89safe10.05–15.738.05–13.9418.11–29.67safer9.29–16.487.31–14.6916.60–31.17
Offsides
45%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.423.16safe0.58–2.900.33–2.520.91–5.42safer0.28–3.200.04–2.800.32–6.01
Yellow cards
33%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.003.70safe0.66–2.760.87–3.131.53–5.88safer0.39–3.020.58–3.420.97–6.44
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
30%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.973.836.80safe1.54–4.412.27–5.393.81–9.79safer1.15–4.801.85–5.813.00–10.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.98 1.01–2.94 0.76–3.20 | 1.26 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.35 | 3.24 1.42–5.06 0.94–5.54 | 54% 22% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.98 4.12–7.85 3.63–8.34 | 4.51 2.77–6.25 2.30–6.72 | 10.50 6.89–14.10 5.93–15.06 | 62% 27% |
| Total shots | 18.77 14.84–22.69 13.75–23.79 | 11.70 8.14–15.27 7.18–16.23 | 30.47 22.99–37.96 20.93–40.01 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 12.42 9.48–15.36 8.65–16.19 | 7.47 4.79–10.15 4.05–10.89 | 19.89 14.26–25.51 12.70–27.08 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 5.33 3.44–7.21 2.90–7.75 | 3.30 1.64–4.95 1.15–5.44 | 8.62 5.09–12.16 4.05–13.19 | 70% 19% |
| Corners | 6.07 3.86–8.28 3.28–8.86 | 4.31 2.31–6.31 1.78–6.84 | 10.38 6.17–14.59 5.06–15.70 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 55.49 48.70–62.28 47.03–63.95 | 44.69 37.91–51.48 36.24–53.15 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 482 415–549 397–567 | 404 337–470 320–488 | 886 752–1019 716–1055 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.48 68.45–76.51 67.16–77.81 | 68.52 64.20–72.85 62.89–74.16 | — | 67% 28% |
| Fouls | 12.89 10.05–15.73 9.29–16.48 | 11.00 8.05–13.94 7.31–14.69 | 23.89 18.11–29.67 16.60–31.17 | 61% 31% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.42 0.33–2.52 0.04–2.80 | 3.16 0.91–5.42 0.32–6.01 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.39–3.02 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.70 1.53–5.88 0.97–6.44 | 33% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.97 1.54–4.41 1.15–4.80 | 3.83 2.27–5.39 1.85–5.81 | 6.80 3.81–9.79 3.00–10.61 | 30% 15% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.