Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
19%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.153.47safe1.35–3.290.29–2.001.64–5.29safer1.10–3.540.06–2.231.16–5.77
Shots on target
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.863.8710.73safe5.00–8.722.12–5.617.12–14.33safer4.51–9.211.66–6.086.17–15.29
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction20.9110.2731.18safe16.98–24.836.71–13.8323.69–38.67safer15.89–25.925.75–14.7921.64–40.72
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction13.616.7720.38safe10.67–16.554.09–9.4514.75–26.00safer9.84–17.383.35–10.1913.19–27.57
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.732.338.06safe3.85–7.610.67–3.984.52–11.59safer3.30–8.150.18–4.473.48–12.63
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.573.3310.90safe5.36–9.781.33–5.336.69–15.11safer4.78–10.360.80–5.865.58–16.22
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.3141.93safe51.52–65.1035.14–48.71safer49.85–66.7733.47–50.38
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction566410975safe498–633343–476841–1109safer480–651326–494806–1144
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction79.0572.82safe75.02–83.0868.50–77.15safer73.72–84.3767.19–78.46
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4411.6723.11safe8.60–14.288.73–14.6117.33–28.89safer7.85–15.037.98–15.3615.82–30.40
Offsides
61%
19%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.451.363.81safe1.29–3.610.27–2.451.55–6.06safer0.99–3.910.00–2.740.96–6.65
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.883.33safe0.41–2.500.75–3.001.15–5.51safer0.14–2.770.46–3.300.59–6.07
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.454.396.84safe1.02–3.892.83–5.943.85–9.83safer0.63–4.282.41–6.373.04–10.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.32 1.35–3.29 1.10–3.54 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.06–2.23 | 3.47 1.64–5.29 1.16–5.77 | 64% 19% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.86 5.00–8.72 4.51–9.21 | 3.87 2.12–5.61 1.66–6.08 | 10.73 7.12–14.33 6.17–15.29 | 78% 14% |
| Total shots | 20.91 16.98–24.83 15.89–25.92 | 10.27 6.71–13.83 5.75–14.79 | 31.18 23.69–38.67 21.64–40.72 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.61 10.67–16.55 9.84–17.38 | 6.77 4.09–9.45 3.35–10.19 | 20.38 14.75–26.00 13.19–27.57 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 5.73 3.85–7.61 3.30–8.15 | 2.33 0.67–3.98 0.18–4.47 | 8.06 4.52–11.59 3.48–12.63 | 85% |
| Corners | 7.57 5.36–9.78 4.78–10.36 | 3.33 1.33–5.33 0.80–5.86 | 10.90 6.69–15.11 5.58–16.22 | 88% |
| Possession % | 58.31 51.52–65.10 49.85–66.77 | 41.93 35.14–48.71 33.47–50.38 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 566 498–633 480–651 | 410 343–476 326–494 | 975 841–1109 806–1144 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.05 75.02–83.08 73.72–84.37 | 72.82 68.50–77.15 67.19–78.46 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 11.44 8.60–14.28 7.85–15.03 | 11.67 8.73–14.61 7.98–15.36 | 23.11 17.33–28.89 15.82–30.40 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.45 1.29–3.61 0.99–3.91 | 1.36 0.27–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.81 1.55–6.06 0.96–6.65 | 61% 19% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.41–2.50 0.14–2.77 | 1.88 0.75–3.00 0.46–3.30 | 3.33 1.15–5.51 0.59–6.07 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.45 1.02–3.89 0.63–4.28 | 4.39 2.83–5.94 2.41–6.37 | 6.84 3.85–9.83 3.04–10.64 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.