Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
19%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.093.31safe1.26–3.200.23–1.941.49–5.14safer1.01–3.450.00–2.171.01–5.62
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.964.1210.08safe4.10–7.822.38–5.876.48–13.69safer3.61–8.311.91–6.335.52–14.64
Total shots
81%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction16.8911.7528.64safe12.96–20.818.19–15.3221.16–36.13safer11.87–21.917.23–16.2819.10–38.18
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.867.8419.70safe8.92–14.805.16–10.5214.08–25.33safer8.09–15.634.42–11.2612.51–26.89
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.012.727.72safe3.13–6.891.06–4.374.19–11.26safer2.58–7.430.57–4.863.15–12.30
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction7.034.1411.17safe4.82–9.252.14–6.146.96–15.38safer4.24–9.821.61–6.675.85–16.49
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.4340.70safe53.64–67.2233.92–47.49safer51.97–68.8932.25–49.16
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction524361884safe457–591294–427751–1018safer438–609277–445715–1054
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction75.6466.98safe71.62–79.6762.65–71.30safer70.32–80.9761.34–72.61
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8513.2324.08safe8.01–13.6910.28–16.1718.29–29.86safer7.26–14.449.53–16.9216.79–31.36
Offsides
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.523.38safe0.69–3.020.43–2.621.13–5.63safer0.39–3.320.14–2.910.54–6.22
Yellow cards
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.273.68safe0.37–2.471.14–3.401.51–5.86safer0.10–2.730.85–3.690.95–6.42
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
28%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.853.876.73safe1.42–4.292.32–5.433.73–9.72safer1.03–4.681.89–5.852.92–10.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.23 1.26–3.20 1.01–3.45 | 1.09 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 3.31 1.49–5.14 1.01–5.62 | 63% 19% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.96 4.10–7.82 3.61–8.31 | 4.12 2.38–5.87 1.91–6.33 | 10.08 6.48–13.69 5.52–14.64 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 16.89 12.96–20.81 11.87–21.91 | 11.75 8.19–15.32 7.23–16.28 | 28.64 21.16–36.13 19.10–38.18 | 81% 15% |
| Shots in box | 11.86 8.92–14.80 8.09–15.63 | 7.84 5.16–10.52 4.42–11.26 | 19.70 14.08–25.33 12.51–26.89 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 5.01 3.13–6.89 2.58–7.43 | 2.72 1.06–4.37 0.57–4.86 | 7.72 4.19–11.26 3.15–12.30 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 7.03 4.82–9.25 4.24–9.82 | 4.14 2.14–6.14 1.61–6.67 | 11.17 6.96–15.38 5.85–16.49 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 60.43 53.64–67.22 51.97–68.89 | 40.70 33.92–47.49 32.25–49.16 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 524 457–591 438–609 | 361 294–427 277–445 | 884 751–1018 715–1054 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.64 71.62–79.67 70.32–80.97 | 66.98 62.65–71.30 61.34–72.61 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.85 8.01–13.69 7.26–14.44 | 13.23 10.28–16.17 9.53–16.92 | 24.08 18.29–29.86 16.79–31.36 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.69–3.02 0.39–3.32 | 1.52 0.43–2.62 0.14–2.91 | 3.38 1.13–5.63 0.54–6.22 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.10–2.73 | 2.27 1.14–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 3.68 1.51–5.86 0.95–6.42 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.42–4.29 1.03–4.68 | 3.87 2.32–5.43 1.89–5.85 | 6.73 3.73–9.72 2.92–10.53 | 28% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.