Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.392.203.59safe0.42–2.361.34–3.051.76–5.41safer0.17–2.611.11–3.281.28–5.89
Shots on target
22%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction4.546.6511.19safe2.68–6.404.91–8.407.59–14.80safer2.19–6.894.45–8.866.63–15.75
Total shots
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8716.4030.27safe9.95–17.8012.84–19.9622.78–37.76safer8.85–18.8911.88–20.9220.73–39.81
Shots in box
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1111.0820.20safe6.17–12.068.40–13.7614.58–25.82safer5.34–12.897.67–14.5013.01–27.39
Blocked shots
27%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.494.758.24safe1.61–5.373.09–6.404.70–11.77safer1.06–5.922.60–6.893.66–12.81
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.835.7610.60safe2.62–7.053.76–7.766.38–14.81safer2.05–7.623.23–8.305.28–15.92
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction41.9858.09safe35.19–48.7751.31–64.88safer33.52–50.4449.64–66.55
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction390537927safe323–458471–603794–1061safer305–476453–621758–1097
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction67.2077.29safe63.17–71.2272.96–81.61safer61.87–72.5271.65–82.92
Fouls
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5010.3723.87safe10.66–16.347.43–13.3218.09–29.66safer9.91–17.096.68–14.0716.59–31.16
Offsides
70%
16%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.851.294.14safe1.69–4.010.20–2.381.88–6.39safer1.39–4.310.00–2.671.29–6.98
Yellow cards
43%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.913.97safe1.01–3.110.78–3.041.79–6.15safer0.74–3.380.49–3.331.23–6.70
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.252.997.23safe2.81–5.681.43–4.544.24–10.22safer2.42–6.071.01–4.973.43–11.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.36 0.17–2.61 | 2.20 1.34–3.05 1.11–3.28 | 3.59 1.76–5.41 1.28–5.89 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Shots on target | 4.54 2.68–6.40 2.19–6.89 | 6.65 4.91–8.40 4.45–8.86 | 11.19 7.59–14.80 6.63–15.75 | 22% 69% |
| Total shots | 13.87 9.95–17.80 8.85–18.89 | 16.40 12.84–19.96 11.88–20.92 | 30.27 22.78–37.76 20.73–39.81 | 29% 64% |
| Shots in box | 9.11 6.17–12.06 5.34–12.89 | 11.08 8.40–13.76 7.67–14.50 | 20.20 14.58–25.82 13.01–27.39 | 29% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 3.49 1.61–5.37 1.06–5.92 | 4.75 3.09–6.40 2.60–6.89 | 8.24 4.70–11.77 3.66–12.81 | 27% 60% |
| Corners | 4.83 2.62–7.05 2.05–7.62 | 5.76 3.76–7.76 3.23–8.30 | 10.60 6.38–14.81 5.28–15.92 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 41.98 35.19–48.77 33.52–50.44 | 58.09 51.31–64.88 49.64–66.55 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 390 323–458 305–476 | 537 471–603 453–621 | 927 794–1061 758–1097 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.20 63.17–71.22 61.87–72.52 | 77.29 72.96–81.61 71.65–82.92 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 13.50 10.66–16.34 9.91–17.09 | 10.37 7.43–13.32 6.68–14.07 | 23.87 18.09–29.66 16.59–31.16 | 70% 23% |
| Offsides | 2.85 1.69–4.01 1.39–4.31 | 1.29 0.20–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 4.14 1.88–6.39 1.29–6.98 | 70% 16% 15% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.11 0.74–3.38 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.97 1.79–6.15 1.23–6.70 | 43% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.25 2.81–5.68 2.42–6.07 | 2.99 1.43–4.54 1.01–4.97 | 7.23 4.24–10.22 3.43–11.04 | 61% 14% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+