Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction0.872.483.36safe0.00–1.841.63–3.341.53–5.18safer0.00–2.091.40–3.571.05–5.66
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction3.116.409.51safe1.25–4.984.66–8.145.91–13.12safer0.76–5.474.19–8.614.95–14.07
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0917.1126.21safe5.17–13.0213.55–20.6718.72–33.69safer4.08–14.1112.59–21.6316.67–35.74
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction5.4011.9017.30safe2.46–8.359.22–14.5811.68–22.93safer1.63–9.188.48–15.3210.11–24.49
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.464.977.43safe0.58–4.343.32–6.633.90–10.97safer0.04–4.892.83–7.122.86–12.00
Corners
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.656.269.91safe1.44–5.874.26–8.265.70–14.13safer0.87–6.443.73–8.804.59–15.24
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction37.5563.22safe30.76–44.3456.44–70.01safer29.09–46.0154.77–71.68
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction356575931safe289–424509–642798–1065safer271–442491–659762–1101
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction62.7976.85safe58.76–66.8272.52–81.17safer57.47–68.1271.21–82.48
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8212.2723.09safe7.99–13.669.32–15.2117.31–28.87safer7.23–14.428.57–15.9615.80–30.38
Offsides
48%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.583.57safe0.83–3.150.48–2.671.31–5.82safer0.53–3.450.19–2.960.72–6.41
Yellow cards
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.743.52safe0.73–2.830.61–2.871.34–5.70safer0.47–3.100.32–3.160.78–6.26
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.090.21safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.430.00–0.410.00–0.84
GK saves
68%
13%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.012.356.35safe2.57–5.440.79–3.903.36–9.35safer2.18–5.830.37–4.332.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.87 0.00–1.84 0.00–2.09 | 2.48 1.63–3.34 1.40–3.57 | 3.36 1.53–5.18 1.05–5.66 | 16% 73% |
| Shots on target | 3.11 1.25–4.98 0.76–5.47 | 6.40 4.66–8.14 4.19–8.61 | 9.51 5.91–13.12 4.95–14.07 | 82% |
| Total shots | 9.09 5.17–13.02 4.08–14.11 | 17.11 13.55–20.67 12.59–21.63 | 26.21 18.72–33.69 16.67–35.74 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 5.40 2.46–8.35 1.63–9.18 | 11.90 9.22–14.58 8.48–15.32 | 17.30 11.68–22.93 10.11–24.49 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 2.46 0.58–4.34 0.04–4.89 | 4.97 3.32–6.63 2.83–7.12 | 7.43 3.90–10.97 2.86–12.00 | 77% |
| Corners | 3.65 1.44–5.87 0.87–6.44 | 6.26 4.26–8.26 3.73–8.80 | 9.91 5.70–14.13 4.59–15.24 | 16% 75% |
| Possession % | 37.55 30.76–44.34 29.09–46.01 | 63.22 56.44–70.01 54.77–71.68 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 356 289–424 271–442 | 575 509–642 491–659 | 931 798–1065 762–1101 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.79 58.76–66.82 57.47–68.12 | 76.85 72.52–81.17 71.21–82.48 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 10.82 7.99–13.66 7.23–14.42 | 12.27 9.32–15.21 8.57–15.96 | 23.09 17.31–28.87 15.80–30.38 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.45 | 1.58 0.48–2.67 0.19–2.96 | 3.57 1.31–5.82 0.72–6.41 | 48% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.78–6.26 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 4.01 2.57–5.44 2.18–5.83 | 2.35 0.79–3.90 0.37–4.33 | 6.35 3.36–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 68% 13% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.