Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.442.043.48safe0.47–2.411.18–2.891.66–5.30safer0.22–2.660.96–3.121.18–5.78
Shots on target
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.265.8910.15safe2.40–6.134.15–7.636.55–13.76safer1.91–6.623.68–8.105.59–14.72
Total shots
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2414.4027.65safe9.32–17.1710.84–17.9720.16–35.14safer8.23–18.269.88–18.9318.11–37.19
Shots in box
33%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction8.7210.0718.79safe5.78–11.667.39–12.7513.17–24.42safer4.95–12.496.65–13.4911.60–25.98
Blocked shots
41%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.813.937.74safe1.93–5.692.28–5.584.20–11.27safer1.38–6.231.79–6.083.17–12.31
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.624.989.61safe2.41–6.842.98–6.985.39–13.82safer1.84–7.412.45–7.524.29–14.93
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction51.4049.36safe44.61–58.1942.58–56.15safer42.94–59.8640.91–57.82
Passes
59%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction487460947safe420–554394–527814–1081safer402–573376–544778–1117
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction72.4974.41safe68.46–76.5270.09–78.74safer67.17–77.8168.78–80.04
Fouls
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6510.0222.67safe9.81–15.487.08–12.9716.89–28.45safer9.05–16.246.33–13.7115.38–29.96
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.423.19safe0.61–2.930.33–2.510.93–5.44safer0.31–3.230.04–2.800.35–6.03
Yellow cards
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.593.19safe0.55–2.650.46–2.711.01–5.36safer0.29–2.920.16–3.010.45–5.92
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.702.886.58safe2.26–5.141.32–4.443.59–9.57safer1.88–5.520.90–4.862.78–10.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 2.04 1.18–2.89 0.96–3.12 | 3.48 1.66–5.30 1.18–5.78 | 27% 21% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.26 2.40–6.13 1.91–6.62 | 5.89 4.15–7.63 3.68–8.10 | 10.15 6.55–13.76 5.59–14.72 | 25% 64% |
| Total shots | 13.24 9.32–17.17 8.23–18.26 | 14.40 10.84–17.97 9.88–18.93 | 27.65 20.16–35.14 18.11–37.19 | 38% 55% |
| Shots in box | 8.72 5.78–11.66 4.95–12.49 | 10.07 7.39–12.75 6.65–13.49 | 18.79 13.17–24.42 11.60–25.98 | 33% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 3.81 1.93–5.69 1.38–6.23 | 3.93 2.28–5.58 1.79–6.08 | 7.74 4.20–11.27 3.17–12.31 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 4.62 2.41–6.84 1.84–7.41 | 4.98 2.98–6.98 2.45–7.52 | 9.61 5.39–13.82 4.29–14.93 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 51.40 44.61–58.19 42.94–59.86 | 49.36 42.58–56.15 40.91–57.82 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 487 420–554 402–573 | 460 394–527 376–544 | 947 814–1081 778–1117 | 59% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.49 68.46–76.52 67.17–77.81 | 74.41 70.09–78.74 68.78–80.04 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 12.65 9.81–15.48 9.05–16.24 | 10.02 7.08–12.97 6.33–13.71 | 22.67 16.89–28.45 15.38–29.96 | 67% 26% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.42 0.33–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 3.19 0.93–5.44 0.35–6.03 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.29–2.92 | 1.59 0.46–2.71 0.16–3.01 | 3.19 1.01–5.36 0.45–5.92 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.70 2.26–5.14 1.88–5.52 | 2.88 1.32–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 6.58 3.59–9.57 2.78–10.38 | 55% 15% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.