Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.472.96safe0.52–2.450.62–2.331.14–4.78safer0.27–2.710.39–2.560.66–5.26
Shots on target
48%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.094.779.86safe3.23–6.963.03–6.516.26–13.47safer2.74–7.452.56–6.985.30–14.42
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8613.4429.30safe11.93–19.789.88–17.0121.81–36.79safer10.84–20.878.92–17.9719.76–38.84
Shots in box
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction10.099.2619.35safe7.15–13.036.58–11.9413.72–24.97safer6.32–13.865.84–12.6812.16–26.54
Blocked shots
56%
13%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.563.618.16safe2.67–6.441.95–5.264.63–11.70safer2.13–6.981.46–5.753.59–12.73
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.565.1710.73safe3.35–7.773.17–7.176.51–14.94safer2.77–8.352.63–7.705.41–16.05
Possession %
43%
53%
homeawayprediction49.2051.30safe42.41–55.9944.52–58.09safer40.74–57.6642.85–59.76
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction444454898safe377–511388–520764–1032safer359–529370–538729–1067
Pass accuracy %
26%
69%
homeawayprediction63.8068.21safe59.77–67.8363.89–72.53safer58.47–69.1262.58–73.84
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4911.7922.29safe7.66–13.338.85–14.7416.50–28.07safer6.90–14.098.10–15.4915.00–29.57
Offsides
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.932.104.03safe0.77–3.091.00–3.191.77–6.28safer0.47–3.390.72–3.481.18–6.87
Yellow cards
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.983.37safe0.34–2.440.85–3.111.19–5.55safer0.07–2.700.56–3.400.63–6.11
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
36%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.566.67safe1.68–4.552.00–5.113.68–9.67safer1.29–4.941.58–5.542.87–10.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.45 0.27–2.71 | 1.47 0.62–2.33 0.39–2.56 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 38% 24% 37% |
| Shots on target | 5.09 3.23–6.96 2.74–7.45 | 4.77 3.03–6.51 2.56–6.98 | 9.86 6.26–13.47 5.30–14.42 | 48% 40% |
| Total shots | 15.86 11.93–19.78 10.84–20.87 | 13.44 9.88–17.01 8.92–17.97 | 29.30 21.81–36.79 19.76–38.84 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 10.09 7.15–13.03 6.32–13.86 | 9.26 6.58–11.94 5.84–12.68 | 19.35 13.72–24.97 12.16–26.54 | 53% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 4.56 2.67–6.44 2.13–6.98 | 3.61 1.95–5.26 1.46–5.75 | 8.16 4.63–11.70 3.59–12.73 | 56% 13% 30% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.35–7.77 2.77–8.35 | 5.17 3.17–7.17 2.63–7.70 | 10.73 6.51–14.94 5.41–16.05 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 49.20 42.41–55.99 40.74–57.66 | 51.30 44.52–58.09 42.85–59.76 | — | 43% 53% |
| Passes | 444 377–511 359–529 | 454 388–520 370–538 | 898 764–1032 729–1067 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.80 59.77–67.83 58.47–69.12 | 68.21 63.89–72.53 62.58–73.84 | — | 26% 69% |
| Fouls | 10.49 7.66–13.33 6.90–14.09 | 11.79 8.85–14.74 8.10–15.49 | 22.29 16.50–28.07 15.00–29.57 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.93 0.77–3.09 0.47–3.39 | 2.10 1.00–3.19 0.72–3.48 | 4.03 1.77–6.28 1.18–6.87 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.07–2.70 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.37 1.19–5.55 0.63–6.11 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.11 1.68–4.55 1.29–4.94 | 3.56 2.00–5.11 1.58–5.54 | 6.67 3.68–9.67 2.87–10.48 | 36% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.