Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
94%
homeawaytotalprediction4.320.654.98safe3.35–5.290.00–1.513.15–6.80safer3.10–5.540.00–1.742.67–7.28
Shots on target
98%
homeawaytotalprediction9.742.4212.16safe7.88–11.610.68–4.168.56–15.77safer7.39–12.090.21–4.637.60–16.72
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction23.907.0930.99safe19.98–27.833.52–10.6523.50–38.48safer18.89–28.922.56–11.6121.45–40.53
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction16.634.9121.55safe13.69–19.582.23–7.5915.92–27.17safer12.86–20.411.49–8.3314.36–28.74
Blocked shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction6.441.698.13safe4.56–8.320.04–3.344.60–11.67safer4.01–8.870.00–3.843.56–12.70
Corners
97%
homeawaytotalprediction9.172.4711.64safe6.96–11.390.47–4.477.43–15.86safer6.39–11.960.00–5.006.32–16.96
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction71.7227.19safe64.93–78.5120.41–33.98safer63.26–80.1818.74–35.65
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7542921046safe687–821226–359913–1180safer669–839208–376877–1216
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction84.6167.12safe80.58–88.6462.79–71.44safer79.29–89.9361.49–72.75
Fouls
33%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction8.209.5117.71safe5.36–11.046.56–12.4511.93–23.49safer4.61–11.795.82–13.2010.42–25.00
Offsides
52%
19%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.461.844.30safe1.30–3.630.74–2.932.05–6.55safer1.00–3.930.45–3.221.46–7.14
Yellow cards
20%
27%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction0.771.472.24safe0.00–1.820.34–2.600.06–4.42safer0.00–2.080.05–2.890.00–4.98
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
91%
homeawaytotalprediction1.896.087.98safe0.46–3.334.53–7.644.99–10.97safer0.07–3.724.10–8.074.17–11.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4.32 3.35–5.29 3.10–5.54 | 0.65 0.00–1.51 0.00–1.74 | 4.98 3.15–6.80 2.67–7.28 | 94% |
| Shots on target | 9.74 7.88–11.61 7.39–12.09 | 2.42 0.68–4.16 0.21–4.63 | 12.16 8.56–15.77 7.60–16.72 | 98% |
| Total shots | 23.90 19.98–27.83 18.89–28.92 | 7.09 3.52–10.65 2.56–11.61 | 30.99 23.50–38.48 21.45–40.53 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 16.63 13.69–19.58 12.86–20.41 | 4.91 2.23–7.59 1.49–8.33 | 21.55 15.92–27.17 14.36–28.74 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 6.44 4.56–8.32 4.01–8.87 | 1.69 0.04–3.34 0.00–3.84 | 8.13 4.60–11.67 3.56–12.70 | 94% |
| Corners | 9.17 6.96–11.39 6.39–11.96 | 2.47 0.47–4.47 0.00–5.00 | 11.64 7.43–15.86 6.32–16.96 | 97% |
| Possession % | 71.72 64.93–78.51 63.26–80.18 | 27.19 20.41–33.98 18.74–35.65 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 754 687–821 669–839 | 292 226–359 208–376 | 1046 913–1180 877–1216 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.61 80.58–88.64 79.29–89.93 | 67.12 62.79–71.44 61.49–72.75 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 8.20 5.36–11.04 4.61–11.79 | 9.51 6.56–12.45 5.82–13.20 | 17.71 11.93–23.49 10.42–25.00 | 33% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.46 1.30–3.63 1.00–3.93 | 1.84 0.74–2.93 0.45–3.22 | 4.30 2.05–6.55 1.46–7.14 | 52% 19% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 0.77 0.00–1.82 0.00–2.08 | 1.47 0.34–2.60 0.05–2.89 | 2.24 0.06–4.42 0.00–4.98 | 20% 27% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 1.89 0.46–3.33 0.07–3.72 | 6.08 4.53–7.64 4.10–8.07 | 7.98 4.99–10.97 4.17–11.78 | 91% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+