Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
19%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.033.27safe1.27–3.200.18–1.891.45–5.09safer1.02–3.450.00–2.120.97–5.57
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.053.759.79safe4.18–7.912.01–5.496.19–13.40safer3.69–8.401.54–5.965.23–14.35
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6911.5528.24safe12.76–20.617.99–15.1120.75–35.73safer11.67–21.717.03–16.0718.70–37.78
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction12.237.3719.60safe9.28–15.174.69–10.0513.97–25.22safer8.45–16.003.95–10.7912.41–26.79
Blocked shots
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.553.017.56safe2.67–6.431.35–4.664.02–11.09safer2.13–6.980.86–5.152.99–12.13
Corners
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.733.6710.39safe4.51–8.941.67–5.676.18–14.61safer3.94–9.511.13–6.205.07–15.71
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.8042.81safe51.01–64.5936.02–49.59safer49.34–66.2634.35–51.26
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction519394913safe452–587327–460779–1047safer434–605310–478744–1082
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction73.9971.87safe69.96–78.0267.55–76.19safer68.67–79.3166.24–77.50
Fouls
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3812.9123.28safe7.54–13.219.96–15.8517.50–29.06safer6.78–13.979.21–16.6016.00–30.57
Offsides
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.243.97safe0.57–2.891.15–3.331.71–6.22safer0.26–3.190.86–3.621.12–6.81
Yellow cards
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.482.253.73safe0.43–2.531.13–3.381.56–5.91safer0.16–2.790.83–3.671.00–6.47
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
27%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.583.546.12safe1.14–4.021.98–5.103.13–9.11safer0.76–4.401.56–5.522.32–9.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.23 1.27–3.20 1.02–3.45 | 1.03 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 3.27 1.45–5.09 0.97–5.57 | 65% 19% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.05 4.18–7.91 3.69–8.40 | 3.75 2.01–5.49 1.54–5.96 | 9.79 6.19–13.40 5.23–14.35 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 16.69 12.76–20.61 11.67–21.71 | 11.55 7.99–15.11 7.03–16.07 | 28.24 20.75–35.73 18.70–37.78 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 12.23 9.28–15.17 8.45–16.00 | 7.37 4.69–10.05 3.95–10.79 | 19.60 13.97–25.22 12.41–26.79 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.55 2.67–6.43 2.13–6.98 | 3.01 1.35–4.66 0.86–5.15 | 7.56 4.02–11.09 2.99–12.13 | 65% 23% |
| Corners | 6.73 4.51–8.94 3.94–9.51 | 3.67 1.67–5.67 1.13–6.20 | 10.39 6.18–14.61 5.07–15.71 | 79% 13% |
| Possession % | 57.80 51.01–64.59 49.34–66.26 | 42.81 36.02–49.59 34.35–51.26 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 519 452–587 434–605 | 394 327–460 310–478 | 913 779–1047 744–1082 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.99 69.96–78.02 68.67–79.31 | 71.87 67.55–76.19 66.24–77.50 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 10.38 7.54–13.21 6.78–13.97 | 12.91 9.96–15.85 9.21–16.60 | 23.28 17.50–29.06 16.00–30.57 | 26% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.26–3.19 | 2.24 1.15–3.33 0.86–3.62 | 3.97 1.71–6.22 1.12–6.81 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.16–2.79 | 2.25 1.13–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 3.73 1.56–5.91 1.00–6.47 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.14–4.02 0.76–4.40 | 3.54 1.98–5.10 1.56–5.52 | 6.12 3.13–9.11 2.32–9.93 | 27% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.