Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
21%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.453.50safe1.08–3.020.60–2.301.68–5.32safer0.83–3.270.37–2.531.20–5.80
Shots on target
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction6.234.7110.95safe4.37–8.102.97–6.457.34–14.55safer3.88–8.592.50–6.926.39–15.51
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction17.8912.5230.41safe13.96–21.818.96–16.0922.92–37.90safer12.87–22.908.00–17.0420.87–39.95
Shots in box
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction11.528.3119.84safe8.58–14.475.63–10.9914.21–25.46safer7.75–15.304.89–11.7312.65–27.03
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.183.028.20safe3.30–7.061.36–4.674.66–11.73safer2.76–7.610.87–5.163.63–12.77
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.124.2010.32safe3.91–8.332.20–6.206.11–14.53safer3.33–8.911.66–6.735.00–15.64
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction56.7543.87safe49.96–63.5437.08–50.65safer48.29–65.2135.41–52.32
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5644401003safe496–631373–506870–1137safer478–649356–524834–1173
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction74.4473.11safe70.42–78.4768.79–77.44safer69.12–79.7767.48–78.75
Fouls
24%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8112.5722.38safe6.97–12.649.62–15.5116.59–28.16safer6.21–13.408.88–16.2615.09–29.66
Offsides
14%
15%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.322.984.30safe0.16–2.481.89–4.072.05–6.55safer0.00–2.781.60–4.361.46–7.14
Yellow cards
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.953.29safe0.29–2.390.82–3.081.12–5.47safer0.03–2.660.53–3.370.56–6.03
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
27%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.084.227.30safe1.64–4.522.66–5.774.30–10.29safer1.26–4.902.24–6.203.49–11.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.05 1.08–3.02 0.83–3.27 | 1.45 0.60–2.30 0.37–2.53 | 3.50 1.68–5.32 1.20–5.80 | 52% 21% 27% |
| Shots on target | 6.23 4.37–8.10 3.88–8.59 | 4.71 2.97–6.45 2.50–6.92 | 10.95 7.34–14.55 6.39–15.51 | 62% 27% |
| Total shots | 17.89 13.96–21.81 12.87–22.90 | 12.52 8.96–16.09 8.00–17.04 | 30.41 22.92–37.90 20.87–39.95 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 11.52 8.58–14.47 7.75–15.30 | 8.31 5.63–10.99 4.89–11.73 | 19.84 14.21–25.46 12.65–27.03 | 73% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 5.18 3.30–7.06 2.76–7.61 | 3.02 1.36–4.67 0.87–5.16 | 8.20 4.66–11.73 3.63–12.77 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 6.12 3.91–8.33 3.33–8.91 | 4.20 2.20–6.20 1.66–6.73 | 10.32 6.11–14.53 5.00–15.64 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 56.75 49.96–63.54 48.29–65.21 | 43.87 37.08–50.65 35.41–52.32 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 564 496–631 478–649 | 440 373–506 356–524 | 1003 870–1137 834–1173 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.44 70.42–78.47 69.12–79.77 | 73.11 68.79–77.44 67.48–78.75 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 9.81 6.97–12.64 6.21–13.40 | 12.57 9.62–15.51 8.88–16.26 | 22.38 16.59–28.16 15.09–29.66 | 24% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.32 0.16–2.48 0.00–2.78 | 2.98 1.89–4.07 1.60–4.36 | 4.30 2.05–6.55 1.46–7.14 | 14% 15% 71% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.03–2.66 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.29 1.12–5.47 0.56–6.03 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.08 1.64–4.52 1.26–4.90 | 4.22 2.66–5.77 2.24–6.20 | 7.30 4.30–10.29 3.49–11.10 | 27% 14% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.