Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.340.913.25safe1.38–3.310.05–1.761.43–5.08safer1.13–3.560.00–1.990.95–5.56
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.823.4110.23safe4.96–8.681.67–5.156.62–13.83safer4.47–9.171.20–5.625.67–14.79
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction19.8310.8530.67safe15.90–23.757.28–14.4123.19–38.16safer14.81–24.846.32–15.3721.14–40.21
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction13.196.7519.93safe10.24–16.134.07–9.4314.31–25.56safer9.41–16.963.33–10.1712.74–27.12
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.522.798.31safe3.64–7.401.14–4.444.78–11.85safer3.10–7.950.64–4.933.74–12.88
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.473.8210.29safe4.26–8.681.82–5.826.08–14.50safer3.68–9.261.29–6.364.97–15.61
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.0644.72safe48.27–61.8537.94–51.51safer46.60–63.5236.27–53.18
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction510400909safe442–577333–466775–1043safer424–595316–484740–1078
Pass accuracy %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction75.5172.70safe71.48–79.5468.38–77.03safer70.19–80.8367.07–78.34
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3812.7723.15safe7.54–13.229.83–15.7217.37–28.93safer6.78–13.979.08–16.4715.86–30.44
Offsides
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.373.35safe0.82–3.140.27–2.461.10–5.61safer0.52–3.450.00–2.750.51–6.19
Yellow cards
25%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.382.073.45safe0.33–2.430.94–3.201.27–5.62safer0.06–2.690.65–3.490.71–6.18
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.384.436.81safe0.94–3.812.87–5.983.81–9.80safer0.55–4.202.45–6.413.00–10.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.34 1.38–3.31 1.13–3.56 | 0.91 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 3.25 1.43–5.08 0.95–5.56 | 69% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.82 4.96–8.68 4.47–9.17 | 3.41 1.67–5.15 1.20–5.62 | 10.23 6.62–13.83 5.67–14.79 | 82% |
| Total shots | 19.83 15.90–23.75 14.81–24.84 | 10.85 7.28–14.41 6.32–15.37 | 30.67 23.19–38.16 21.14–40.21 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 13.19 10.24–16.13 9.41–16.96 | 6.75 4.07–9.43 3.33–10.17 | 19.93 14.31–25.56 12.74–27.12 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 5.52 3.64–7.40 3.10–7.95 | 2.79 1.14–4.44 0.64–4.93 | 8.31 4.78–11.85 3.74–12.88 | 78% |
| Corners | 6.47 4.26–8.68 3.68–9.26 | 3.82 1.82–5.82 1.29–6.36 | 10.29 6.08–14.50 4.97–15.61 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 55.06 48.27–61.85 46.60–63.52 | 44.72 37.94–51.51 36.27–53.18 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 510 442–577 424–595 | 400 333–466 316–484 | 909 775–1043 740–1078 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.51 71.48–79.54 70.19–80.83 | 72.70 68.38–77.03 67.07–78.34 | — | 62% 33% |
| Fouls | 10.38 7.54–13.22 6.78–13.97 | 12.77 9.83–15.72 9.08–16.47 | 23.15 17.37–28.93 15.86–30.44 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.45 | 1.37 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.35 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.19 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.06–2.69 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.45 1.27–5.62 0.71–6.18 | 25% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.94–3.81 0.55–4.20 | 4.43 2.87–5.98 2.45–6.41 | 6.81 3.81–9.80 3.00–10.61 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.