Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.572.93safe0.40–2.340.71–2.421.11–4.76safer0.15–2.590.48–2.650.63–5.24
Shots on target
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.835.2610.09safe2.97–6.693.51–7.006.48–13.69safer2.48–7.183.05–7.475.53–14.65
Total shots
44%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0014.3428.35safe10.08–17.9310.78–17.9120.86–35.83safer8.99–19.029.82–18.8618.81–37.89
Shots in box
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction9.359.8619.21safe6.40–12.297.18–12.5413.58–24.83safer5.57–13.126.44–13.2812.02–26.40
Blocked shots
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.074.528.58safe2.18–5.952.87–6.175.05–12.12safer1.64–6.492.37–6.664.01–13.16
Corners
40%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.985.3110.28safe2.76–7.193.31–7.316.07–14.49safer2.19–7.762.77–7.844.96–15.60
Possession %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction45.0754.89safe38.28–51.8648.10–61.67safer36.61–53.5346.43–63.35
Passes
30%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction398459856safe330–465392–525723–990safer312–483375–543687–1026
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction65.7676.44safe61.73–69.7972.12–80.77safer60.44–71.0870.81–82.08
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4112.3623.77safe8.57–14.249.42–15.3117.99–29.55safer7.81–15.008.67–16.0616.48–31.06
Offsides
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.602.083.68safe0.44–2.760.99–3.171.43–5.94safer0.14–3.060.70–3.460.84–6.53
Yellow cards
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.843.32safe0.43–2.520.72–2.971.14–5.50safer0.16–2.790.42–3.260.58–6.05
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.273.096.35safe1.83–4.701.53–4.643.36–9.35safer1.44–5.091.11–5.072.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.57 0.71–2.42 0.48–2.65 | 2.93 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.24 | 33% 24% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.83 2.97–6.69 2.48–7.18 | 5.26 3.51–7.00 3.05–7.47 | 10.09 6.48–13.69 5.53–14.65 | 38% 49% |
| Total shots | 14.00 10.08–17.93 8.99–19.02 | 14.34 10.78–17.91 9.82–18.86 | 28.35 20.86–35.83 18.81–37.89 | 44% 49% |
| Shots in box | 9.35 6.40–12.29 5.57–13.12 | 9.86 7.18–12.54 6.44–13.28 | 19.21 13.58–24.83 12.02–26.40 | 41% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 4.07 2.18–5.95 1.64–6.49 | 4.52 2.87–6.17 2.37–6.66 | 8.58 5.05–12.12 4.01–13.16 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 4.98 2.76–7.19 2.19–7.76 | 5.31 3.31–7.31 2.77–7.84 | 10.28 6.07–14.49 4.96–15.60 | 40% 48% |
| Possession % | 45.07 38.28–51.86 36.61–53.53 | 54.89 48.10–61.67 46.43–63.35 | — | 26% 70% |
| Passes | 398 330–465 312–483 | 459 392–525 375–543 | 856 723–990 687–1026 | 30% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.76 61.73–69.79 60.44–71.08 | 76.44 72.12–80.77 70.81–82.08 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 11.41 8.57–14.24 7.81–15.00 | 12.36 9.42–15.31 8.67–16.06 | 23.77 17.99–29.55 16.48–31.06 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 2.08 0.99–3.17 0.70–3.46 | 3.68 1.43–5.94 0.84–6.53 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.43–2.52 0.16–2.79 | 1.84 0.72–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.32 1.14–5.50 0.58–6.05 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.83–4.70 1.44–5.09 | 3.09 1.53–4.64 1.11–5.07 | 6.35 3.36–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 45% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.