Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.850.892.74safe0.88–2.820.04–1.740.91–4.56safer0.63–3.070.00–1.970.43–5.04
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.463.108.56safe3.60–7.331.36–4.844.96–12.17safer3.11–7.820.89–5.314.00–13.12
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction16.499.3525.84safe12.56–20.415.79–12.9118.35–33.32safer11.47–21.504.83–13.8716.30–35.38
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction11.705.8617.56safe8.76–14.643.18–8.5511.94–23.19safer7.93–15.472.45–9.2810.37–24.75
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.522.697.21safe2.63–6.401.04–4.353.67–10.74safer2.09–6.940.55–4.842.64–11.78
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.203.769.96safe3.99–8.411.76–5.765.75–14.17safer3.41–8.991.22–6.294.64–15.28
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.8245.88safe48.03–61.6139.09–52.66safer46.36–63.2837.42–54.33
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction463381844safe396–530315–448711–978safer378–549297–465675–1014
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction71.2068.14safe67.17–75.2363.82–72.47safer65.88–76.5262.51–73.77
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2111.0523.26safe9.37–15.058.11–14.0017.48–29.04safer8.61–15.807.36–14.7515.98–30.55
Offsides
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.513.03safe0.36–2.680.41–2.600.78–5.28safer0.06–2.990.13–2.890.19–5.87
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.873.61safe0.69–2.790.74–3.001.43–5.79safer0.43–3.060.45–3.290.87–6.34
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
21%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.223.635.86safe0.79–3.662.08–5.192.86–8.85safer0.40–4.051.65–5.612.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.85 0.88–2.82 0.63–3.07 | 0.89 0.04–1.74 0.00–1.97 | 2.74 0.91–4.56 0.43–5.04 | 60% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.46 3.60–7.33 3.11–7.82 | 3.10 1.36–4.84 0.89–5.31 | 8.56 4.96–12.17 4.00–13.12 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 16.49 12.56–20.41 11.47–21.50 | 9.35 5.79–12.91 4.83–13.87 | 25.84 18.35–33.32 16.30–35.38 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.70 8.76–14.64 7.93–15.47 | 5.86 3.18–8.55 2.45–9.28 | 17.56 11.94–23.19 10.37–24.75 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.52 2.63–6.40 2.09–6.94 | 2.69 1.04–4.35 0.55–4.84 | 7.21 3.67–10.74 2.64–11.78 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 6.20 3.99–8.41 3.41–8.99 | 3.76 1.76–5.76 1.22–6.29 | 9.96 5.75–14.17 4.64–15.28 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 54.82 48.03–61.61 46.36–63.28 | 45.88 39.09–52.66 37.42–54.33 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 463 396–530 378–549 | 381 315–448 297–465 | 844 711–978 675–1014 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.20 67.17–75.23 65.88–76.52 | 68.14 63.82–72.47 62.51–73.77 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 12.21 9.37–15.05 8.61–15.80 | 11.05 8.11–14.00 7.36–14.75 | 23.26 17.48–29.04 15.98–30.55 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.99 | 1.51 0.41–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.03 0.78–5.28 0.19–5.87 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.43–3.06 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.87–6.34 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.22 0.79–3.66 0.40–4.05 | 3.63 2.08–5.19 1.65–5.61 | 5.86 2.86–8.85 2.05–9.66 | 21% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.