Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction0.902.563.46safe0.00–1.871.71–3.411.63–5.28safer0.00–2.121.48–3.641.15–5.76
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction3.127.4410.57safe1.26–4.985.70–9.196.96–14.17safer0.77–5.475.24–9.656.00–15.13
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7518.5528.30safe5.83–13.6814.98–22.1120.81–35.79safer4.74–14.7714.02–23.0718.76–37.84
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction6.3913.6520.04safe3.45–9.3310.97–16.3314.42–25.66safer2.62–10.1610.23–17.0712.85–27.23
Blocked shots
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.785.147.92safe0.90–4.663.48–6.794.38–11.45safer0.35–5.202.99–7.283.34–12.49
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction3.457.0110.47safe1.24–5.675.01–9.016.26–14.68safer0.67–6.244.48–9.555.15–15.79
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction36.9863.75safe30.19–43.7756.96–70.53safer28.52–45.4455.29–72.20
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction339585924safe272–406519–651790–1058safer254–424501–669755–1093
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction62.9079.46safe58.87–66.9375.14–83.79safer57.58–68.2273.83–85.09
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4310.7723.21safe9.59–15.277.83–13.7217.42–28.99safer8.84–16.037.08–14.4715.92–30.49
Offsides
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.023.74safe0.56–2.880.92–3.111.48–5.99safer0.26–3.180.63–3.400.89–6.58
Yellow cards
50%
21%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.563.65safe1.04–3.140.43–2.691.47–5.83safer0.78–3.410.14–2.980.92–6.39
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.032.266.29safe2.60–5.470.70–3.823.30–9.28safer2.21–5.860.28–4.242.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.90 0.00–1.87 0.00–2.12 | 2.56 1.71–3.41 1.48–3.64 | 3.46 1.63–5.28 1.15–5.76 | 16% 73% |
| Shots on target | 3.12 1.26–4.98 0.77–5.47 | 7.44 5.70–9.19 5.24–9.65 | 10.57 6.96–14.17 6.00–15.13 | 88% |
| Total shots | 9.75 5.83–13.68 4.74–14.77 | 18.55 14.98–22.11 14.02–23.07 | 28.30 20.81–35.79 18.76–37.84 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 6.39 3.45–9.33 2.62–10.16 | 13.65 10.97–16.33 10.23–17.07 | 20.04 14.42–25.66 12.85–27.23 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 2.78 0.90–4.66 0.35–5.20 | 5.14 3.48–6.79 2.99–7.28 | 7.92 4.38–11.45 3.34–12.49 | 15% 75% |
| Corners | 3.45 1.24–5.67 0.67–6.24 | 7.01 5.01–9.01 4.48–9.55 | 10.47 6.26–14.68 5.15–15.79 | 83% |
| Possession % | 36.98 30.19–43.77 28.52–45.44 | 63.75 56.96–70.53 55.29–72.20 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 339 272–406 254–424 | 585 519–651 501–669 | 924 790–1058 755–1093 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.90 58.87–66.93 57.58–68.22 | 79.46 75.14–83.79 73.83–85.09 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 12.43 9.59–15.27 8.84–16.03 | 10.77 7.83–13.72 7.08–14.47 | 23.21 17.42–28.99 15.92–30.49 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 2.02 0.92–3.11 0.63–3.40 | 3.74 1.48–5.99 0.89–6.58 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.14 0.78–3.41 | 1.56 0.43–2.69 0.14–2.98 | 3.65 1.47–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 50% 21% 29% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 4.03 2.60–5.47 2.21–5.86 | 2.26 0.70–3.82 0.28–4.24 | 6.29 3.30–9.28 2.49–10.10 | 69% 18% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+