Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.003.35safe0.39–2.321.14–2.851.53–5.17safer0.14–2.580.91–3.081.05–5.65
Shots on target
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.385.9610.35safe2.52–6.254.22–7.716.74–13.95safer2.03–6.733.75–8.175.79–14.91
Total shots
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2015.8430.05safe10.28–18.1312.28–19.4122.56–37.54safer9.19–19.2211.32–20.3720.51–39.59
Shots in box
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction8.8311.1519.98safe5.89–11.778.47–13.8314.36–25.60safer5.06–12.607.73–14.5712.79–27.17
Blocked shots
39%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.304.638.94safe2.42–6.192.98–6.285.40–12.47safer1.88–6.732.49–6.784.36–13.51
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.885.6210.50safe2.67–7.093.62–7.626.29–14.72safer2.09–7.673.09–8.165.18–15.82
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.9857.96safe36.19–49.7751.17–64.74safer34.52–51.4449.50–66.41
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction407539946safe340–474472–605812–1079safer322–493455–623776–1115
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction63.4376.58safe59.40–67.4672.25–80.90safer58.11–68.7570.95–82.21
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2510.5321.78safe8.42–14.097.58–13.4716.00–27.56safer7.66–14.856.83–14.2214.49–29.07
Offsides
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.633.15safe0.36–2.680.54–2.720.90–5.41safer0.06–2.980.25–3.010.31–5.99
Yellow cards
41%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.523.19safe0.62–2.720.39–2.651.01–5.37safer0.35–2.980.10–2.940.45–5.92
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.792.996.78safe2.36–5.231.43–4.543.78–9.77safer1.97–5.611.00–4.972.97–10.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.32 0.14–2.58 | 2.00 1.14–2.85 0.91–3.08 | 3.35 1.53–5.17 1.05–5.65 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.38 2.52–6.25 2.03–6.73 | 5.96 4.22–7.71 3.75–8.17 | 10.35 6.74–13.95 5.79–14.91 | 26% 63% |
| Total shots | 14.20 10.28–18.13 9.19–19.22 | 15.84 12.28–19.41 11.32–20.37 | 30.05 22.56–37.54 20.51–39.59 | 35% 58% |
| Shots in box | 8.83 5.89–11.77 5.06–12.60 | 11.15 8.47–13.83 7.73–14.57 | 19.98 14.36–25.60 12.79–27.17 | 26% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 4.30 2.42–6.19 1.88–6.73 | 4.63 2.98–6.28 2.49–6.78 | 8.94 5.40–12.47 4.36–13.51 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Corners | 4.88 2.67–7.09 2.09–7.67 | 5.62 3.62–7.62 3.09–8.16 | 10.50 6.29–14.72 5.18–15.82 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 42.98 36.19–49.77 34.52–51.44 | 57.96 51.17–64.74 49.50–66.41 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 407 340–474 322–493 | 539 472–605 455–623 | 946 812–1079 776–1115 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.43 59.40–67.46 58.11–68.75 | 76.58 72.25–80.90 70.95–82.21 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 11.25 8.42–14.09 7.66–14.85 | 10.53 7.58–13.47 6.83–14.22 | 21.78 16.00–27.56 14.49–29.07 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.63 0.54–2.72 0.25–3.01 | 3.15 0.90–5.41 0.31–5.99 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 1.52 0.39–2.65 0.10–2.94 | 3.19 1.01–5.37 0.45–5.92 | 41% 23% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.79 2.36–5.23 1.97–5.61 | 2.99 1.43–4.54 1.00–4.97 | 6.78 3.78–9.77 2.97–10.58 | 54% 15% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.