Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.563.42safe0.90–2.830.70–2.411.60–5.24safer0.65–3.090.47–2.641.12–5.72
Shots on target
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.584.8410.42safe3.71–7.443.10–6.596.81–14.02safer3.22–7.932.64–7.055.86–14.98
Total shots
55%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0114.7830.79safe12.08–19.9311.22–18.3523.31–38.28safer10.99–21.0210.26–19.3121.25–40.33
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction10.549.9020.44safe7.60–13.487.22–12.5814.82–26.06safer6.77–14.316.48–13.3213.25–27.63
Blocked shots
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.243.858.08safe2.36–6.122.19–5.504.55–11.62safer1.81–6.661.70–5.993.51–12.66
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.694.9810.67safe3.48–7.912.98–6.986.46–14.89safer2.91–8.482.45–7.515.35–15.99
Possession %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction54.4645.78safe47.67–61.2539.00–52.57safer46.00–62.9237.33–54.24
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction507416923safe440–575350–483790–1057safer422–593332–500754–1093
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction71.9371.29safe67.90–75.9666.96–75.61safer66.61–77.2565.65–76.92
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1912.1822.37safe7.35–13.039.23–15.1216.59–28.15safer6.60–13.788.49–15.8715.08–29.66
Offsides
21%
19%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.443.84safe0.24–2.561.35–3.531.59–6.10safer0.00–2.871.06–3.821.00–6.69
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.953.42safe0.43–2.530.82–3.071.24–5.60safer0.16–2.790.53–3.370.69–6.16
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.243.787.02safe1.81–4.682.22–5.334.03–10.01safer1.42–5.071.80–5.763.22–10.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.87 0.90–2.83 0.65–3.09 | 1.56 0.70–2.41 0.47–2.64 | 3.42 1.60–5.24 1.12–5.72 | 45% 22% 32% |
| Shots on target | 5.58 3.71–7.44 3.22–7.93 | 4.84 3.10–6.59 2.64–7.05 | 10.42 6.81–14.02 5.86–14.98 | 53% 35% |
| Total shots | 16.01 12.08–19.93 10.99–21.02 | 14.78 11.22–18.35 10.26–19.31 | 30.79 23.31–38.28 21.25–40.33 | 55% 38% |
| Shots in box | 10.54 7.60–13.48 6.77–14.31 | 9.90 7.22–12.58 6.48–13.32 | 20.44 14.82–26.06 13.25–27.63 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 4.24 2.36–6.12 1.81–6.66 | 3.85 2.19–5.50 1.70–5.99 | 8.08 4.55–11.62 3.51–12.66 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Corners | 5.69 3.48–7.91 2.91–8.48 | 4.98 2.98–6.98 2.45–7.51 | 10.67 6.46–14.89 5.35–15.99 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 54.46 47.67–61.25 46.00–62.92 | 45.78 39.00–52.57 37.33–54.24 | — | 67% 28% |
| Passes | 507 440–575 422–593 | 416 350–483 332–500 | 923 790–1057 754–1093 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.93 67.90–75.96 66.61–77.25 | 71.29 66.96–75.61 65.65–76.92 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 10.19 7.35–13.03 6.60–13.78 | 12.18 9.23–15.12 8.49–15.87 | 22.37 16.59–28.15 15.08–29.66 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.87 | 2.44 1.35–3.53 1.06–3.82 | 3.84 1.59–6.10 1.00–6.69 | 21% 19% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.16–2.79 | 1.95 0.82–3.07 0.53–3.37 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.24 1.81–4.68 1.42–5.07 | 3.78 2.22–5.33 1.80–5.76 | 7.02 4.03–10.01 3.22–10.83 | 35% 15% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.