Bundesliga·Regular Season - 27·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.680.903.57safe1.71–3.640.04–1.751.75–5.40safer1.46–3.900.00–1.981.27–5.88
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.292.9210.21safe5.43–9.161.18–4.666.61–13.82safer4.94–9.650.71–5.135.65–14.77
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction19.458.3527.80safe15.52–23.374.79–11.9220.32–35.29safer14.43–24.473.83–12.8818.27–37.34
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction14.165.7419.90safe11.21–17.103.06–8.4214.27–25.52safer10.38–17.932.32–9.1612.71–27.09
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.452.427.87safe3.57–7.330.76–4.074.33–11.40safer3.03–7.880.27–4.563.30–12.44
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.063.0810.13safe4.84–9.271.08–5.085.92–14.35safer4.27–9.840.54–5.614.81–15.45
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction62.0539.07safe55.26–68.8432.28–45.85safer53.59–70.5130.61–47.52
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction579367945safe511–646300–433812–1079safer493–664283–451776–1115
Pass accuracy %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction77.8769.78safe73.84–81.9065.46–74.11safer72.55–83.1964.15–75.42
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9411.6821.62safe7.11–12.788.73–14.6215.84–27.40safer6.35–13.547.98–15.3714.33–28.91
Offsides
29%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.612.173.78safe0.45–2.771.08–3.271.53–6.04safer0.15–3.070.79–3.560.94–6.63
Yellow cards
24%
22%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.883.07safe0.14–2.240.75–3.010.90–5.25safer0.00–2.510.46–3.300.34–5.81
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.130.18safe0.00–0.210.00–0.320.00–0.53safer0.00–0.360.00–0.450.00–0.81
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.094.566.64safe0.65–3.523.00–6.113.65–9.64safer0.26–3.912.58–6.542.84–10.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.68 1.71–3.64 1.46–3.90 | 0.90 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 3.57 1.75–5.40 1.27–5.88 | 75% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.29 5.43–9.16 4.94–9.65 | 2.92 1.18–4.66 0.71–5.13 | 10.21 6.61–13.82 5.65–14.77 | 89% |
| Total shots | 19.45 15.52–23.37 14.43–24.47 | 8.35 4.79–11.92 3.83–12.88 | 27.80 20.32–35.29 18.27–37.34 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 14.16 11.21–17.10 10.38–17.93 | 5.74 3.06–8.42 2.32–9.16 | 19.90 14.27–25.52 12.71–27.09 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.45 3.57–7.33 3.03–7.88 | 2.42 0.76–4.07 0.27–4.56 | 7.87 4.33–11.40 3.30–12.44 | 82% |
| Corners | 7.06 4.84–9.27 4.27–9.84 | 3.08 1.08–5.08 0.54–5.61 | 10.13 5.92–14.35 4.81–15.45 | 87% |
| Possession % | 62.05 55.26–68.84 53.59–70.51 | 39.07 32.28–45.85 30.61–47.52 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 579 511–646 493–664 | 367 300–433 283–451 | 945 812–1079 776–1115 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.87 73.84–81.90 72.55–83.19 | 69.78 65.46–74.11 64.15–75.42 | — | 84% 13% |
| Fouls | 9.94 7.11–12.78 6.35–13.54 | 11.68 8.73–14.62 7.98–15.37 | 21.62 15.84–27.40 14.33–28.91 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 2.17 1.08–3.27 0.79–3.56 | 3.78 1.53–6.04 0.94–6.63 | 29% 21% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.19 0.14–2.24 0.00–2.51 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.07 0.90–5.25 0.34–5.81 | 24% 22% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.09 0.65–3.52 0.26–3.91 | 4.56 3.00–6.11 2.58–6.54 | 6.64 3.65–9.64 2.84–10.45 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.