Bundesliga·Regular Season - 27·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
18%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.391.053.45safe1.42–3.360.20–1.911.62–5.27safer1.17–3.610.00–2.141.14–5.75
Shots on target
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.644.0610.69safe4.77–8.502.32–5.807.09–14.30safer4.28–8.991.85–6.276.13–15.25
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction20.1210.8030.92safe16.19–24.047.24–14.3723.43–38.41safer15.10–25.136.28–15.3221.38–40.46
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction13.917.5321.45safe10.97–16.864.85–10.2115.82–27.07safer10.14–17.694.11–10.9514.26–28.64
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.912.328.23safe4.03–7.790.66–3.974.69–11.76safer3.48–8.330.17–4.463.66–12.80
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction8.223.7711.99safe6.00–10.431.77–5.777.77–16.20safer5.43–11.011.24–6.306.67–17.31
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.3135.74safe57.52–71.1028.96–42.53safer55.85–72.7727.28–44.20
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction611347957safe543–678280–413824–1091safer525–696263–431788–1127
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction76.9667.21safe72.93–80.9862.89–71.54safer71.63–82.2861.58–72.85
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4112.3221.73safe6.57–12.259.37–15.2615.95–27.51safer5.82–13.018.63–16.0114.44–29.02
Offsides
20%
16%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.974.64safe0.51–2.831.87–4.062.39–6.89safer0.21–3.141.58–4.351.80–7.48
Yellow cards
19%
20%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.182.233.41safe0.14–2.231.10–3.361.23–5.59safer0.00–2.500.81–3.650.68–6.15
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.604.316.92safe1.17–4.042.76–5.873.93–9.91safer0.78–4.432.33–6.293.11–10.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.39 1.42–3.36 1.17–3.61 | 1.05 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 3.45 1.62–5.27 1.14–5.75 | 67% 18% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.64 4.77–8.50 4.28–8.99 | 4.06 2.32–5.80 1.85–6.27 | 10.69 7.09–14.30 6.13–15.25 | 74% 17% |
| Total shots | 20.12 16.19–24.04 15.10–25.13 | 10.80 7.24–14.37 6.28–15.32 | 30.92 23.43–38.41 21.38–40.46 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 13.91 10.97–16.86 10.14–17.69 | 7.53 4.85–10.21 4.11–10.95 | 21.45 15.82–27.07 14.26–28.64 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 5.91 4.03–7.79 3.48–8.33 | 2.32 0.66–3.97 0.17–4.46 | 8.23 4.69–11.76 3.66–12.80 | 86% |
| Corners | 8.22 6.00–10.43 5.43–11.01 | 3.77 1.77–5.77 1.24–6.30 | 11.99 7.77–16.20 6.67–17.31 | 88% |
| Possession % | 64.31 57.52–71.10 55.85–72.77 | 35.74 28.96–42.53 27.28–44.20 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 611 543–678 525–696 | 347 280–413 263–431 | 957 824–1091 788–1127 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.96 72.93–80.98 71.63–82.28 | 67.21 62.89–71.54 61.58–72.85 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 9.41 6.57–12.25 5.82–13.01 | 12.32 9.37–15.26 8.63–16.01 | 21.73 15.95–27.51 14.44–29.02 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.14 | 2.97 1.87–4.06 1.58–4.35 | 4.64 2.39–6.89 1.80–7.48 | 20% 16% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 1.18 0.14–2.23 0.00–2.50 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 3.41 1.23–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 19% 20% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 4.31 2.76–5.87 2.33–6.29 | 6.92 3.93–9.91 3.11–10.72 | 20% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.