Bundesliga·Regular Season - 27·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
17%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.541.063.60safe1.57–3.510.21–1.911.78–5.42safer1.32–3.760.00–2.141.30–5.90
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.573.9311.50safe5.71–9.442.19–5.677.90–15.11safer5.22–9.931.72–6.146.94–16.06
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction19.2610.6529.91safe15.34–23.197.09–14.2122.43–37.40safer14.25–24.286.13–15.1720.38–39.45
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction13.677.8521.52safe10.73–16.615.17–10.5315.90–27.14safer9.90–17.444.43–11.2714.33–28.71
Blocked shots
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.213.118.32safe3.32–7.091.46–4.774.78–11.85safer2.78–7.630.97–5.263.75–12.89
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction7.483.9211.40safe5.27–9.701.92–5.927.19–15.61safer4.69–10.271.39–6.456.08–16.72
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.9438.26safe55.15–68.7331.48–45.05safer53.48–70.4029.81–46.72
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction608366973safe541–675299–432840–1107safer522–693282–450804–1143
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction74.4666.57safe70.43–78.4862.25–70.90safer69.13–79.7860.94–72.20
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3311.1621.50safe7.50–13.178.22–14.1115.72–27.28safer6.74–13.937.47–14.8614.21–28.78
Offsides
54%
20%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.251.523.77safe1.09–3.410.43–2.621.52–6.02safer0.79–3.710.14–2.900.93–6.61
Yellow cards
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.692.98safe0.24–2.340.56–2.820.80–5.16safer0.00–2.610.27–3.110.25–5.72
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.404.797.18safe0.96–3.833.23–6.344.19–10.18safer0.57–4.222.81–6.773.38–10.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.54 1.57–3.51 1.32–3.76 | 1.06 0.21–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 3.60 1.78–5.42 1.30–5.90 | 69% 17% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.57 5.71–9.44 5.22–9.93 | 3.93 2.19–5.67 1.72–6.14 | 11.50 7.90–15.11 6.94–16.06 | 83% |
| Total shots | 19.26 15.34–23.19 14.25–24.28 | 10.65 7.09–14.21 6.13–15.17 | 29.91 22.43–37.40 20.38–39.45 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 13.67 10.73–16.61 9.90–17.44 | 7.85 5.17–10.53 4.43–11.27 | 21.52 15.90–27.14 14.33–28.71 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 5.21 3.32–7.09 2.78–7.63 | 3.11 1.46–4.77 0.97–5.26 | 8.32 4.78–11.85 3.75–12.89 | 71% 18% |
| Corners | 7.48 5.27–9.70 4.69–10.27 | 3.92 1.92–5.92 1.39–6.45 | 11.40 7.19–15.61 6.08–16.72 | 82% |
| Possession % | 61.94 55.15–68.73 53.48–70.40 | 38.26 31.48–45.05 29.81–46.72 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 608 541–675 522–693 | 366 299–432 282–450 | 973 840–1107 804–1143 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.46 70.43–78.48 69.13–79.78 | 66.57 62.25–70.90 60.94–72.20 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 10.33 7.50–13.17 6.74–13.93 | 11.16 8.22–14.11 7.47–14.86 | 21.50 15.72–27.28 14.21–28.78 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.25 1.09–3.41 0.79–3.71 | 1.52 0.43–2.62 0.14–2.90 | 3.77 1.52–6.02 0.93–6.61 | 54% 20% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.34 0.00–2.61 | 1.69 0.56–2.82 0.27–3.11 | 2.98 0.80–5.16 0.25–5.72 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.96–3.83 0.57–4.22 | 4.79 3.23–6.34 2.81–6.77 | 7.18 4.19–10.18 3.38–10.99 | 14% 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+