Bundesliga·Regular Season - 27·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.413.21safe0.83–2.770.55–2.261.39–5.03safer0.58–3.020.33–2.490.91–5.51
Shots on target
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.664.6010.26safe3.80–7.522.85–6.346.65–13.86safer3.31–8.012.39–6.805.69–14.82
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1712.5929.76safe13.25–21.109.02–16.1522.27–37.25safer12.16–22.198.06–17.1120.22–39.30
Shots in box
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction11.648.6420.27safe8.70–14.585.95–11.3214.65–25.90safer7.87–15.415.22–12.0513.08–27.46
Blocked shots
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.063.949.00safe3.18–6.942.29–5.605.47–12.54safer2.64–7.491.80–6.094.43–13.57
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.814.7810.58safe3.59–8.022.78–6.786.37–14.80safer3.02–8.592.24–7.315.26–15.90
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction51.0749.08safe44.28–57.8642.30–55.87safer42.61–59.5340.62–57.54
Passes
53%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction420409828safe352–487342–475695–962safer334–505325–493659–998
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction71.4973.91safe67.46–75.5269.58–78.23safer66.16–76.8168.27–79.54
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0911.9725.05safe10.25–15.939.02–14.9119.27–30.84safer9.49–16.688.27–15.6617.77–32.34
Offsides
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.543.19safe0.49–2.810.44–2.630.93–5.44safer0.19–3.110.15–2.920.34–6.03
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.033.81safe0.73–2.830.90–3.161.64–5.99safer0.47–3.100.61–3.451.08–6.55
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.676.46safe1.36–4.232.11–5.223.47–9.45safer0.97–4.621.69–5.652.65–10.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.80 0.83–2.77 0.58–3.02 | 1.41 0.55–2.26 0.33–2.49 | 3.21 1.39–5.03 0.91–5.51 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.66 3.80–7.52 3.31–8.01 | 4.60 2.85–6.34 2.39–6.80 | 10.26 6.65–13.86 5.69–14.82 | 57% 31% |
| Total shots | 17.17 13.25–21.10 12.16–22.19 | 12.59 9.02–16.15 8.06–17.11 | 29.76 22.27–37.25 20.22–39.30 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 11.64 8.70–14.58 7.87–15.41 | 8.64 5.95–11.32 5.22–12.05 | 20.27 14.65–25.90 13.08–27.46 | 71% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 5.06 3.18–6.94 2.64–7.49 | 3.94 2.29–5.60 1.80–6.09 | 9.00 5.47–12.54 4.43–13.57 | 58% 29% |
| Corners | 5.81 3.59–8.02 3.02–8.59 | 4.78 2.78–6.78 2.24–7.31 | 10.58 6.37–14.80 5.26–15.90 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 51.07 44.28–57.86 42.61–59.53 | 49.08 42.30–55.87 40.62–57.54 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 420 352–487 334–505 | 409 342–475 325–493 | 828 695–962 659–998 | 53% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.49 67.46–75.52 66.16–76.81 | 73.91 69.58–78.23 68.27–79.54 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 13.09 10.25–15.93 9.49–16.68 | 11.97 9.02–14.91 8.27–15.66 | 25.05 19.27–30.84 17.77–32.34 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 1.54 0.44–2.63 0.15–2.92 | 3.19 0.93–5.44 0.34–6.03 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.81 1.64–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.36–4.23 0.97–4.62 | 3.67 2.11–5.22 1.69–5.65 | 6.46 3.47–9.45 2.65–10.26 | 29% 15% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.