Bundesliga·Regular Season - 27·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
20%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.111.093.20safe1.14–3.070.24–1.951.38–5.02safer0.89–3.330.01–2.180.90–5.50
Shots on target
76%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.533.8210.36safe4.67–8.402.08–5.566.75–13.96safer4.18–8.891.61–6.035.80–14.92
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction19.8710.7330.60safe15.94–23.797.17–14.2923.11–38.09safer14.85–24.896.21–15.2521.06–40.14
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction13.406.8720.28safe10.46–16.344.19–9.5614.65–25.90safer9.63–17.173.46–10.2913.09–27.47
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.892.898.78safe4.01–7.771.23–4.545.24–12.31safer3.47–8.320.74–5.034.21–13.35
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.703.6010.30safe4.48–8.911.60–5.606.09–14.51safer3.91–9.481.07–6.144.98–15.62
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.6245.08safe47.83–61.4138.30–51.86safer46.16–63.0836.62–53.54
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction511413924safe444–578346–479790–1057safer426–596329–497754–1093
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction75.6373.52safe71.60–79.6669.19–77.84safer70.31–80.9567.89–79.15
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1412.5622.71safe7.31–12.989.62–15.5116.92–28.49safer6.55–13.748.87–16.2615.42–29.99
Offsides
58%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.241.313.55safe1.08–3.400.21–2.401.29–5.80safer0.78–3.700.00–2.690.70–6.39
Yellow cards
22%
22%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.893.01safe0.07–2.170.76–3.020.83–5.19safer0.00–2.440.47–3.310.27–5.75
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.110.15safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.430.00–0.78
GK saves
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.654.377.02safe1.21–4.082.82–5.934.03–10.01safer0.82–4.472.39–6.353.22–10.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.11 1.14–3.07 0.89–3.33 | 1.09 0.24–1.95 0.01–2.18 | 3.20 1.38–5.02 0.90–5.50 | 61% 20% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.53 4.67–8.40 4.18–8.89 | 3.82 2.08–5.56 1.61–6.03 | 10.36 6.75–13.96 5.80–14.92 | 76% 16% |
| Total shots | 19.87 15.94–23.79 14.85–24.89 | 10.73 7.17–14.29 6.21–15.25 | 30.60 23.11–38.09 21.06–40.14 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 13.40 10.46–16.34 9.63–17.17 | 6.87 4.19–9.56 3.46–10.29 | 20.28 14.65–25.90 13.09–27.47 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 5.89 4.01–7.77 3.47–8.32 | 2.89 1.23–4.54 0.74–5.03 | 8.78 5.24–12.31 4.21–13.35 | 80% |
| Corners | 6.70 4.48–8.91 3.91–9.48 | 3.60 1.60–5.60 1.07–6.14 | 10.30 6.09–14.51 4.98–15.62 | 79% |
| Possession % | 54.62 47.83–61.41 46.16–63.08 | 45.08 38.30–51.86 36.62–53.54 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 511 444–578 426–596 | 413 346–479 329–497 | 924 790–1057 754–1093 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.63 71.60–79.66 70.31–80.95 | 73.52 69.19–77.84 67.89–79.15 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 10.14 7.31–12.98 6.55–13.74 | 12.56 9.62–15.51 8.87–16.26 | 22.71 16.92–28.49 15.42–29.99 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 2.24 1.08–3.40 0.78–3.70 | 1.31 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 3.55 1.29–5.80 0.70–6.39 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.12 0.07–2.17 0.00–2.44 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.01 0.83–5.19 0.27–5.75 | 22% 22% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 4.37 2.82–5.93 2.39–6.35 | 7.02 4.03–10.01 3.22–10.82 | 20% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+