Bundesliga·Regular Season - 27·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.933.19safe0.30–2.231.07–2.781.37–5.02safer0.05–2.480.84–3.010.89–5.49
Shots on target
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.365.029.38safe2.50–6.233.28–6.765.78–12.99safer2.01–6.722.81–7.234.82–13.94
Total shots
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9214.1127.03safe9.00–16.8510.55–17.6719.55–34.52safer7.91–17.949.59–18.6317.50–36.57
Shots in box
25%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction7.479.7817.25safe4.53–10.417.10–12.4611.62–22.87safer3.70–11.246.36–13.2010.06–24.44
Blocked shots
34%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.293.917.19safe1.40–5.172.25–5.563.66–10.73safer0.86–5.711.76–6.052.62–11.76
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.295.269.55safe2.08–6.513.26–7.265.34–13.76safer1.51–7.082.72–7.794.23–14.87
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction44.1456.18safe37.35–50.9349.40–62.97safer35.68–52.6047.73–64.64
Passes
18%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction404512916safe337–471445–578782–1049safer319–489428–596746–1085
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction65.9374.70safe61.90–69.9670.38–79.02safer60.61–71.2569.07–80.33
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2313.0824.31safe8.39–14.0710.14–16.0318.53–30.10safer7.64–14.829.39–16.7817.03–31.60
Offsides
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.472.92safe0.29–2.610.38–2.570.67–5.17safer0.00–2.910.09–2.850.08–5.76
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.033.72safe0.64–2.740.90–3.161.54–5.90safer0.37–3.000.61–3.450.98–6.45
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.382.976.35safe1.95–4.821.41–4.523.36–9.34safer1.56–5.200.99–4.952.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.23 0.05–2.48 | 1.93 1.07–2.78 0.84–3.01 | 3.19 1.37–5.02 0.89–5.49 | 25% 22% 53% |
| Shots on target | 4.36 2.50–6.23 2.01–6.72 | 5.02 3.28–6.76 2.81–7.23 | 9.38 5.78–12.99 4.82–13.94 | 35% 52% |
| Total shots | 12.92 9.00–16.85 7.91–17.94 | 14.11 10.55–17.67 9.59–18.63 | 27.03 19.55–34.52 17.50–36.57 | 37% 55% |
| Shots in box | 7.47 4.53–10.41 3.70–11.24 | 9.78 7.10–12.46 6.36–13.20 | 17.25 11.62–22.87 10.06–24.44 | 25% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 3.29 1.40–5.17 0.86–5.71 | 3.91 2.25–5.56 1.76–6.05 | 7.19 3.66–10.73 2.62–11.76 | 34% 15% 52% |
| Corners | 4.29 2.08–6.51 1.51–7.08 | 5.26 3.26–7.26 2.72–7.79 | 9.55 5.34–13.76 4.23–14.87 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 44.14 37.35–50.93 35.68–52.60 | 56.18 49.40–62.97 47.73–64.64 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 404 337–471 319–489 | 512 445–578 428–596 | 916 782–1049 746–1085 | 18% 81% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.93 61.90–69.96 60.61–71.25 | 74.70 70.38–79.02 69.07–80.33 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.23 8.39–14.07 7.64–14.82 | 13.08 10.14–16.03 9.39–16.78 | 24.31 18.53–30.10 17.03–31.60 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.47 0.38–2.57 0.09–2.85 | 2.92 0.67–5.17 0.08–5.76 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.37–3.00 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.72 1.54–5.90 0.98–6.45 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.38 1.95–4.82 1.56–5.20 | 2.97 1.41–4.52 0.99–4.95 | 6.35 3.36–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 48% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+