Bundesliga·Regular Season - 27·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.852.983.83safe0.00–1.822.12–3.832.00–5.65safer0.00–2.071.89–4.061.52–6.13
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction3.027.8110.83safe1.16–4.896.06–9.557.23–14.44safer0.67–5.385.60–10.016.27–15.39
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction8.4520.3528.79safe4.52–12.3716.78–23.9121.31–36.28safer3.43–13.4615.82–24.8719.26–38.33
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction5.4514.3419.79safe2.51–8.3911.66–17.0214.16–25.41safer1.68–9.2210.92–17.7612.60–26.98
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.675.588.25safe0.79–4.553.93–7.234.71–11.79safer0.25–5.103.43–7.723.68–12.82
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction2.987.4210.40safe0.77–5.195.42–9.426.19–14.62safer0.19–5.774.89–9.965.08–15.72
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction30.4770.69safe23.68–37.2663.90–77.47safer22.01–38.9362.23–79.14
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3197251044safe252–387658–791910–1178safer234–405641–809875–1213
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction63.8785.30safe59.84–67.9080.98–89.63safer58.54–69.1979.67–90.94
Fouls
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.948.6418.57safe7.10–12.785.69–11.5812.79–24.36safer6.35–13.534.94–12.3311.29–25.86
Offsides
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.913.98safe0.90–3.220.82–3.011.72–6.23safer0.60–3.520.53–3.301.13–6.82
Yellow cards
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.152.87safe0.67–2.770.02–2.280.69–5.05safer0.41–3.040.00–2.570.13–5.61
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.250.00–0.50safer0.00–0.400.00–0.380.00–0.79
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction4.672.026.69safe3.24–6.110.47–3.583.70–9.69safer2.85–6.490.04–4.002.89–10.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.85 0.00–1.82 0.00–2.07 | 2.98 2.12–3.83 1.89–4.06 | 3.83 2.00–5.65 1.52–6.13 | 80% |
| Shots on target | 3.02 1.16–4.89 0.67–5.38 | 7.81 6.06–9.55 5.60–10.01 | 10.83 7.23–14.44 6.27–15.39 | 91% |
| Total shots | 8.45 4.52–12.37 3.43–13.46 | 20.35 16.78–23.91 15.82–24.87 | 28.79 21.31–36.28 19.26–38.33 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 5.45 2.51–8.39 1.68–9.22 | 14.34 11.66–17.02 10.92–17.76 | 19.79 14.16–25.41 12.60–26.98 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 2.67 0.79–4.55 0.25–5.10 | 5.58 3.93–7.23 3.43–7.72 | 8.25 4.71–11.79 3.68–12.82 | 80% |
| Corners | 2.98 0.77–5.19 0.19–5.77 | 7.42 5.42–9.42 4.89–9.96 | 10.40 6.19–14.62 5.08–15.72 | 89% |
| Possession % | 30.47 23.68–37.26 22.01–38.93 | 70.69 63.90–77.47 62.23–79.14 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 319 252–387 234–405 | 725 658–791 641–809 | 1044 910–1178 875–1213 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.87 59.84–67.90 58.54–69.19 | 85.30 80.98–89.63 79.67–90.94 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 9.94 7.10–12.78 6.35–13.53 | 8.64 5.69–11.58 4.94–12.33 | 18.57 12.79–24.36 11.29–25.86 | 57% 34% |
| Offsides | 2.06 0.90–3.22 0.60–3.52 | 1.91 0.82–3.01 0.53–3.30 | 3.98 1.72–6.23 1.13–6.82 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 1.15 0.02–2.28 0.00–2.57 | 2.87 0.69–5.05 0.13–5.61 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.67 3.24–6.11 2.85–6.49 | 2.02 0.47–3.58 0.04–4.00 | 6.69 3.70–9.69 2.89–10.50 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.