Bundesliga·Regular Season - 27·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
20%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.062.173.23safe0.09–2.031.31–3.021.40–5.05safer0.00–2.281.09–3.250.92–5.53
Shots on target
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.906.8910.80safe2.04–5.775.15–8.647.19–14.40safer1.55–6.264.69–9.106.24–15.36
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2617.8029.06safe7.33–15.1814.24–21.3621.57–36.55safer6.24–16.2813.28–22.3219.52–38.60
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.4712.4119.88safe4.53–10.429.73–15.0914.26–25.50safer3.70–11.248.99–15.8312.69–27.07
Blocked shots
25%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.294.697.97safe1.40–5.173.03–6.344.44–11.51safer0.86–5.712.54–6.833.40–12.54
Corners
18%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction4.056.4910.55safe1.84–6.274.49–8.496.33–14.76safer1.27–6.843.96–9.035.23–15.87
Possession %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction44.0657.18safe37.27–50.8550.39–63.96safer35.60–52.5248.72–65.63
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction412549961safe345–480483–615828–1095safer327–498465–633792–1131
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction67.3679.19safe63.33–71.3974.86–83.51safer62.04–72.6873.56–84.82
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4611.5623.03safe8.63–14.308.62–14.5117.24–28.81safer7.87–15.067.87–15.2615.74–30.31
Offsides
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.133.77safe0.48–2.801.04–3.221.51–6.02safer0.18–3.100.75–3.510.93–6.61
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.833.43safe0.54–2.640.70–2.961.25–5.60safer0.28–2.910.41–3.250.69–6.16
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
64%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.162.706.87safe2.73–5.601.15–4.263.88–9.86safer2.34–5.990.72–4.693.06–10.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.06 0.09–2.03 0.00–2.28 | 2.17 1.31–3.02 1.09–3.25 | 3.23 1.40–5.05 0.92–5.53 | 18% 20% 63% |
| Shots on target | 3.90 2.04–5.77 1.55–6.26 | 6.89 5.15–8.64 4.69–9.10 | 10.80 7.19–14.40 6.24–15.36 | 14% 78% |
| Total shots | 11.26 7.33–15.18 6.24–16.28 | 17.80 14.24–21.36 13.28–22.32 | 29.06 21.57–36.55 19.52–38.60 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 7.47 4.53–10.42 3.70–11.24 | 12.41 9.73–15.09 8.99–15.83 | 19.88 14.26–25.50 12.69–27.07 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 3.29 1.40–5.17 0.86–5.71 | 4.69 3.03–6.34 2.54–6.83 | 7.97 4.44–11.51 3.40–12.54 | 25% 62% |
| Corners | 4.05 1.84–6.27 1.27–6.84 | 6.49 4.49–8.49 3.96–9.03 | 10.55 6.33–14.76 5.23–15.87 | 18% 73% |
| Possession % | 44.06 37.27–50.85 35.60–52.52 | 57.18 50.39–63.96 48.72–65.63 | — | 20% 76% |
| Passes | 412 345–480 327–498 | 549 483–615 465–633 | 961 828–1095 792–1131 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.36 63.33–71.39 62.04–72.68 | 79.19 74.86–83.51 73.56–84.82 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.46 8.63–14.30 7.87–15.06 | 11.56 8.62–14.51 7.87–15.26 | 23.03 17.24–28.81 15.74–30.31 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 2.13 1.04–3.22 0.75–3.51 | 3.77 1.51–6.02 0.93–6.61 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.28–2.91 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.43 1.25–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.16 2.73–5.60 2.34–5.99 | 2.70 1.15–4.26 0.72–4.69 | 6.87 3.88–9.86 3.06–10.67 | 64% 13% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.