Bundesliga·Regular Season - 28·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
94%
homeawaytotalprediction4.380.614.98safe3.41–5.340.00–1.463.16–6.80safer3.16–5.590.00–1.692.68–7.28
Shots on target
98%
homeawaytotalprediction9.602.3611.96safe7.74–11.470.62–4.108.36–15.57safer7.25–11.950.15–4.577.40–16.52
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction23.336.6830.01safe19.40–27.253.11–10.2422.52–37.49safer18.31–28.342.15–11.2020.47–39.54
Shots in box
100%
homeawaytotalprediction16.573.9920.56safe13.62–19.511.31–6.6714.94–26.18safer12.79–20.340.58–7.4113.37–27.75
Blocked shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction6.551.458.00safe4.67–8.430.00–3.104.46–11.53safer4.13–8.980.00–3.593.43–12.57
Corners
97%
homeawaytotalprediction8.752.3311.08safe6.53–10.960.33–4.336.86–15.29safer5.96–11.530.00–4.865.76–16.40
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction73.3825.88safe66.59–80.1719.10–32.67safer64.92–81.8417.43–34.34
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7672711038safe700–834205–338905–1172safer681–852187–355869–1208
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction85.2668.00safe81.23–89.2963.68–72.33safer79.94–90.5862.37–73.64
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction8.909.5318.43safe6.07–11.746.58–12.4712.65–24.21safer5.31–12.505.83–13.2211.14–25.72
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.823.52safe0.54–2.860.72–2.911.27–5.77safer0.24–3.160.44–3.200.68–6.36
Yellow cards
23%
28%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction0.861.382.24safe0.00–1.910.26–2.510.06–4.42safer0.00–2.170.00–2.810.00–4.98
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
91%
homeawaytotalprediction1.745.807.53safe0.30–3.174.24–7.354.54–10.52safer0.00–3.563.82–7.783.73–11.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4.38 3.41–5.34 3.16–5.59 | 0.61 0.00–1.46 0.00–1.69 | 4.98 3.16–6.80 2.68–7.28 | 94% |
| Shots on target | 9.60 7.74–11.47 7.25–11.95 | 2.36 0.62–4.10 0.15–4.57 | 11.96 8.36–15.57 7.40–16.52 | 98% |
| Total shots | 23.33 19.40–27.25 18.31–28.34 | 6.68 3.11–10.24 2.15–11.20 | 30.01 22.52–37.49 20.47–39.54 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 16.57 13.62–19.51 12.79–20.34 | 3.99 1.31–6.67 0.58–7.41 | 20.56 14.94–26.18 13.37–27.75 | 100% |
| Blocked shots | 6.55 4.67–8.43 4.13–8.98 | 1.45 0.00–3.10 0.00–3.59 | 8.00 4.46–11.53 3.43–12.57 | 96% |
| Corners | 8.75 6.53–10.96 5.96–11.53 | 2.33 0.33–4.33 0.00–4.86 | 11.08 6.86–15.29 5.76–16.40 | 97% |
| Possession % | 73.38 66.59–80.17 64.92–81.84 | 25.88 19.10–32.67 17.43–34.34 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 767 700–834 681–852 | 271 205–338 187–355 | 1038 905–1172 869–1208 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.26 81.23–89.29 79.94–90.58 | 68.00 63.68–72.33 62.37–73.64 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 8.90 6.07–11.74 5.31–12.50 | 9.53 6.58–12.47 5.83–13.22 | 18.43 12.65–24.21 11.14–25.72 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 1.82 0.72–2.91 0.44–3.20 | 3.52 1.27–5.77 0.68–6.36 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 0.86 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.17 | 1.38 0.26–2.51 0.00–2.81 | 2.24 0.06–4.42 0.00–4.98 | 23% 28% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 1.74 0.30–3.17 0.00–3.56 | 5.80 4.24–7.35 3.82–7.78 | 7.53 4.54–10.52 3.73–11.34 | 91% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.