Bundesliga·Regular Season - 28·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.763.39safe0.67–2.600.90–2.611.57–5.21safer0.42–2.850.67–2.841.09–5.69
Shots on target
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.935.4710.40safe3.07–6.793.73–7.216.79–14.00safer2.58–7.283.26–7.685.84–14.96
Total shots
64%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5414.0730.62safe12.62–20.4710.51–17.6423.13–38.10safer11.53–21.569.55–18.6021.08–40.15
Shots in box
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction10.729.5920.31safe7.78–13.666.91–12.2714.69–25.93safer6.95–14.496.17–13.0113.12–27.50
Blocked shots
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.933.498.41safe3.04–6.811.83–5.144.88–11.95safer2.50–7.351.34–5.633.84–12.98
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.714.6010.32safe3.50–7.932.60–6.606.10–14.53safer2.92–8.502.07–7.144.99–15.64
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction55.9344.59safe49.14–62.7237.80–51.37safer47.47–64.3936.13–53.05
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction529420949safe462–596354–487816–1083safer444–614336–504780–1119
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction74.9273.44safe70.89–78.9569.11–77.76safer69.60–80.2467.80–79.07
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1310.9822.11safe8.29–13.968.04–13.9316.33–27.89safer7.53–14.727.29–14.6814.82–29.39
Offsides
19%
17%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.734.23safe0.34–2.661.64–3.821.98–6.48safer0.04–2.961.35–4.111.39–7.07
Yellow cards
36%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.753.36safe0.55–2.650.62–2.881.18–5.53safer0.29–2.920.33–3.170.62–6.09
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
45%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.513.356.86safe2.08–4.951.79–4.913.87–9.85safer1.69–5.341.37–5.333.06–10.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.60 0.42–2.85 | 1.76 0.90–2.61 0.67–2.84 | 3.39 1.57–5.21 1.09–5.69 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.93 3.07–6.79 2.58–7.28 | 5.47 3.73–7.21 3.26–7.68 | 10.40 6.79–14.00 5.84–14.96 | 37% 50% |
| Total shots | 16.54 12.62–20.47 11.53–21.56 | 14.07 10.51–17.64 9.55–18.60 | 30.62 23.13–38.10 21.08–40.15 | 64% 30% |
| Shots in box | 10.72 7.78–13.66 6.95–14.49 | 9.59 6.91–12.27 6.17–13.01 | 20.31 14.69–25.93 13.12–27.50 | 55% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 4.93 3.04–6.81 2.50–7.35 | 3.49 1.83–5.14 1.34–5.63 | 8.41 4.88–11.95 3.84–12.98 | 63% 25% |
| Corners | 5.71 3.50–7.93 2.92–8.50 | 4.60 2.60–6.60 2.07–7.14 | 10.32 6.10–14.53 4.99–15.64 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 55.93 49.14–62.72 47.47–64.39 | 44.59 37.80–51.37 36.13–53.05 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 529 462–596 444–614 | 420 354–487 336–504 | 949 816–1083 780–1119 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.92 70.89–78.95 69.60–80.24 | 73.44 69.11–77.76 67.80–79.07 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 11.13 8.29–13.96 7.53–14.72 | 10.98 8.04–13.93 7.29–14.68 | 22.11 16.33–27.89 14.82–29.39 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 2.73 1.64–3.82 1.35–4.11 | 4.23 1.98–6.48 1.39–7.07 | 19% 17% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.29–2.92 | 1.75 0.62–2.88 0.33–3.17 | 3.36 1.18–5.53 0.62–6.09 | 36% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.51 2.08–4.95 1.69–5.34 | 3.35 1.79–4.91 1.37–5.33 | 6.86 3.87–9.85 3.06–10.67 | 45% 16% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.